Movies · resolved market
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 92 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb0cad87408da1c6c441ae5b51ae903755aa75131df4dcfb40e16f71b6fd07f5f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,170
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,558
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,170 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 22c | 7,326$1,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,626.78 | 95 | 6.3%6 W · 89 L | -7.6wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -79%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Yes | 11c | 1,007$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.93 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd416…d9e2backed No | 68c | 685$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.35 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe74…a70ebacked Yes | 10c | 520.61$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.91 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 65c | 400$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142 | 473 | 28.3%134 W · 339 L | -32.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcffe…146dbacked No | 64c | 400$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142 | 129 | 36.4%47 W · 82 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2766…1e02backed Yes | 9c | 321.19$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…5a27backed Yes | 7c | 273.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 33 | 0%0 W · 33 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed Yes | 24c | 240.66$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.56 | 108 | 30.6%33 W · 75 L | -13.9wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Yes | 17c | 220.93$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.41 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +5.1wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbea0…e19dbacked No | 63c | 214$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.22 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 17c | 196.42$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.89 | 69 | 17.4%12 W · 57 L | -7.5wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed No | 64c | 174.41$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.16 | 145 | 30.3%44 W · 101 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2df0…0a84backed No | 61c | 150$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…95f4backed No | 79c | 110.63$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -44%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No | 69c | 96.33$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.86 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf057…ab54backed Yes | 20c | 93.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1491…fd70backed Yes | 30c | 53.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -5.0wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -50%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed Yes | 36c | 47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c18…32c3backed Yes | 33c | 40.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc15…cca6backed Yes | 35c | 34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…66c7backed No | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd83f…03b1backed No | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x413d…bdb8backed No | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 92 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?this page
- Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes won
- Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes won
- Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes won
- Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 91 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No won
- Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 93 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No won
- Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.