Movies · resolved market
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 91 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb85f232ef3d728835662c2052f3b0107a21a6be6b2f2387a19c73abd3df81907
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,517
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,963
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,517 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 33c | 9,887$3,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,310.55 | 95 | 6.3%6 W · 89 L | -7.6wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -79%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb17d…59aebacked No | 77c | 5,301$4,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,193.9 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed No | 49c | 4,243$2,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,153.02 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6944…7275backed No | 74c | 2,528$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.61 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 50c | 1,717$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.53 | 142 | 40.1%57 W · 85 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcffe…146dbacked No | 62c | 1,279$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.78 | 129 | 36.4%47 W · 82 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe74…a70ebacked Yes | 46c | 756.82$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.6 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2213…492cbacked No | 80c | 595.99$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.21 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 20c | 563.13$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.11 | 268 | 6.3%17 W · 251 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -53%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 66c | 529.98$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.61 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2df0…0a84backed No | 33c | 400$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6442…cdc3backed Yes | 19c | 346$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Yes | 44c | 309.77$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.41 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Yes | 27c | 260$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 49c | 210.83$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.14 | 108 | 30.6%33 W · 75 L | -13.9wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 62c | 200$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 473 | 28.3%134 W · 339 L | -32.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…95f4backed No | 30c | 180.11$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.08 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -44%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e8…94efbacked Yes | 9c | 135.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 16c | 127$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 870 | 33.3%290 W · 580 L | -77.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbea0…e19dbacked Yes | 49c | 100.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.73 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked No | 37c | 92.45$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.25 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +5.1wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb7…6c16backed No | 48c | 92.29$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.29 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebdb…5ac4backed Yes | 53c | 67.34$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf057…ab54backed No | 39c | 62$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.79 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4629…f3b1backed No | 45c | 57.71$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.87 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x306e…6301backed Yes | 20c | 52.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3008…3c76backed No | 43c | 52.42$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.91 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 35c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.2 | 130 | 34.6%45 W · 85 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9295…b91cbacked No | 32c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b17…ab15backed Yes | 55c | 39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeed8…35f0backed No | 50c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cf…464bbacked No | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +27%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfe…11fdbacked No | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11b5…8c02backed No | 43c | 28.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.21 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e7b…bcbcbacked Yes | 57c | 24.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c18…32c3backed Yes | 61c | 24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9129…dd8ebacked No | 49c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +135.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 65c | 22.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 119 | 24.4%29 W · 90 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd322…8503backed Yes | 54c | 22.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -59%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbb…ad2ebacked No | 63c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.71 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Yes | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -14.8wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 33-0.16 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 91 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?this page
- Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes won
- Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes won
- Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes won
- Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 92 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No won
- Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 93 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No won
- Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.