TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs VARREL - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rex Regum Qeonof Rex Regum Qeon, VARREL
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$15,192
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$18,588

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,192 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbc24…c8c4backed Rex Regum Qeon66c3,127$2,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,068.041883.3%15 W · 3 L+3.8wins+0.21per pick62cpaid+30.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked VARREL32c1,950$629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.4945033.8%152 W · 298 L-35.6wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-32.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed VARREL2c900$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15790%0 W · 79 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked VARREL2c800$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12630%0 W · 63 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked VARREL3c366$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.988828.4%25 W · 63 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-34.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe01f…ab4abacked Rex Regum Qeon53c289.29$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.3425444.9%114 W · 140 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f5e…ddaabacked VARREL32c207.14$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.43580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.33per pick47cpaid+65.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Rex Regum Qeon72c174.1$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.9856357.9%326 W · 237 L+36.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9009…4144backed Rex Regum Qeon63c170.06$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.482360.9%14 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-1.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Rex Regum Qeon74c118.66$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.3353355.3%295 W · 238 L+24.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1599…5432backed Rex Regum Qeon52c75.27$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.134946.9%23 W · 26 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked VARREL46c54.84$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.061,37647.1%648 W · 728 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Rex Regum Qeon68c53.12$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0241835.6%149 W · 269 L-19.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-32.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd991…0133backed Rex Regum Qeon69c44.09$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.6711559.1%68 W · 47 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x689a…81b9backed Rex Regum Qeon63c31.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.49837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-42.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9be…a0c1backed Rex Regum Qeon67c29$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.5926436%95 W · 169 L-15.8wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-25.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb92f…58c4backed Rex Regum Qeon72c27.31$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.657759.7%46 W · 31 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x92b5…2defbacked Rex Regum Qeon69c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.225141.4%104 W · 147 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ba0…24d5backed VARREL57c19.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.44057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Rex Regum Qeon66c15.9$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.3619661.7%121 W · 75 L+20.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+11.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Rex Regum Qeon67c15.28$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.0640731.7%129 W · 278 L-13.1wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.