Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs VARREL - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x311726d8812c6e7e4aca7b907b5161ac0397f2037bff76fd206e6f0dff732eb0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rex Regum Qeonof Rex Regum Qeon, VARREL
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,029
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,909
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,029 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked VARREL | 28c | 922.04$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.45 | 450 | 33.8%152 W · 298 L | -35.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb77…031bbacked VARREL | 41c | 383$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Rex Regum Qeon | 68c | 352.26$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.25 | 534 | 55.2%295 W · 239 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed VARREL | 15c | 350$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd31…8004backed Rex Regum Qeon | 80c | 335.9$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.45 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed VARREL | 41c | 190.12$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.55 | 1,495 | 46.6%696 W · 799 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe32a…cd33backed Rex Regum Qeon | 68c | 182.43$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.38 | 434 | 59.2%257 W · 177 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9009…4144backed VARREL | 39c | 148.22$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.8 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed VARREL | 17c | 139$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.06 | 418 | 35.6%149 W · 269 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Rex Regum Qeon | 73c | 119.88$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.92 | 565 | 57.7%326 W · 239 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed VARREL | 19c | 115.15$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.34 | 999 | 45.9%459 W · 540 L | -27.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…a13fbacked VARREL | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcc…9f91backed VARREL | 28c | 87.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.77 | 604 | 23%139 W · 465 L | -25.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c0…f389backed VARREL | 15c | 80$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked VARREL | 18c | 75.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 308 | 28.2%87 W · 221 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed VARREL | 19c | 64.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 264 | 36%95 W · 169 L | -15.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked Rex Regum Qeon | 67c | 51.42$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.97 | 630 | 56.3%355 W · 275 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b60…5c4ebacked Rex Regum Qeon | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 103 | 33%34 W · 69 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…0133backed Rex Regum Qeon | 73c | 45.98$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.52 | 115 | 59.1%68 W · 47 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec2…3fe2backed Rex Regum Qeon | 75c | 41.01$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Rex Regum Qeon | 70c | 29.87$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 251 | 41.4%104 W · 147 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba0…24d5backed Rex Regum Qeon | 44c | 23.19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.99 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs VARREL - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: RRQ (-1.5) vs VARREL (+1.5)Rex Regum Qeon won
- Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs VARREL (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group OmegaRex Regum Qeon won
- Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs VARREL - Map 1 WinnerRex Regum Qeon won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.