South American Leagues · resolved market
CD Universidad Católica vs. CA Boca Juniors: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7123887f2b08f7bbc34063c25260b3a2252be226639fe1452d8101188078ecbc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,622
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,958
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,622 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe8b0…7b16backed Yes | 28c | 6,972$1,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,986.92 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 72c | 6,727$4,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,832.15 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 71c | 1,692$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,196.36 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…ddaabacked Yes | 44c | 1,269$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.8 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -5.6wins | -0.33per pick | 45cpaid | -77.4%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Yes | 29c | 1,004$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.26 | 246 | 65.9%162 W · 84 L | +26.2wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Yes | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 27c | 999.96$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.97 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fe…7558backed No | 53c | 971.8$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.05 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74bb…1759backed Yes | 27c | 361.32$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.76 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 29c | 299.98$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.99 | 138 | 28.3%39 W · 99 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceb1…bd4fbacked No | 10c | 173.6$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 6cpaid | +221.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 43c | 152.77$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.01 | 133 | 73.7%98 W · 35 L | +22.2wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Yes | 45c | 148.45$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.65 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 70c | 122.75$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.93 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 50c | 120.81$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.89 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Yes | 44c | 68.29$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.24 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed No | 72c | 45.4$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.6 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2e…3fb7backed No | 49c | 45.3$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed No | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f4b…f9bfbacked No | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +5.5wins | +0.18per pick | 27cpaid | +114.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…d7ecbacked Yes | 44c | 38.66$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.65 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Yes | 51c | 32.62$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.14 | 404 | 51.2%207 W · 197 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked No | 76c | 28.75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.72 | 192 | 64.1%123 W · 69 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad78…678cbacked No | 75c | 26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 76cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4d…01c3backed No | 55c | 20.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed No | 72c | 17.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 116 | 64.7%75 W · 41 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CD Universidad Católica vs. CA Boca Juniors: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- CD Universidad Católica vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 1.5Over won
- CD Universidad Católica vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 2.5Over won
- CD Universidad Católica vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 3.5Under won
- CD Universidad Católica vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CA Boca Juniors (-1.5)CD Universidad Católica won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.