South American Leagues · resolved market
CD Universidad Católica vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcaf397b23d2a4bf1e426fc960023fa894ed7ac2e4126e2a62f8698e8ddcf162f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,798
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,366
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,798 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 49c | 7,147$3,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,644.91 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 51c | 3,806$1,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,941.2 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 55c | 1,577$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.74 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x167d…cf09backed Under | 68c | 1,355$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 26c | 776.2$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.39 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 38c | 753.7$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.58 | 191 | 35.1%67 W · 124 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…bfffbacked Over | 47c | 557.01$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.72 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -55%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb0…cfdabacked Over | 46c | 385$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.9 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…dababacked Under | 58c | 336.14$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.96 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 35c | 192.01$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.67 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 35c | 169.53$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.47 | 269 | 65.4%176 W · 93 L | +48.9wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 54c | 153.9$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.8 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 51c | 138.77$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.97 | 281 | 58.7%165 W · 116 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 51c | 138.77$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.97 | 178 | 57.3%102 W · 76 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 37c | 133.73$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.33 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 51c | 125.93$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.22 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 51c | 125.93$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.22 | 335 | 60.9%204 W · 131 L | +18.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 51c | 125.93$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.22 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Under | 51c | 125.93$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.22 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked Under | 51c | 125.93$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.22 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 51c | 125.93$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.22 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Under | 51c | 125.93$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.22 | 167 | 59.9%100 W · 67 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 51c | 125.93$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.22 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Under | 51c | 125.93$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.22 | 123 | 61.8%76 W · 47 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Under | 51c | 125.93$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.22 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Under | 61c | 125.56$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.59 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 43c | 108.64$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.18 | 313 | 55.6%174 W · 139 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Under | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | +10.5wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 39c | 96.34$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.77 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Under | 51c | 95.16$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.53 | 156 | 54.5%85 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 34c | 94.36$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.47 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 41c | 85.96$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.35 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 50c | 84.11$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.05 | 292 | 45.2%132 W · 160 L | -24.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 61c | 76.17$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.47 | 429 | 62.2%267 W · 162 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 30c | 68.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.75 | 336 | 58.3%196 W · 140 L | +32.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc311…c154backed Under | 74c | 66.37$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.22 | 82 | 67.1%55 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Under | 51c | 57.09$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 122 | 59%72 W · 50 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Over | 46c | 48.38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.13 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Under | 51c | 47.84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 57c | 45.39$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.04 | 404 | 51.2%207 W · 197 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Over | 31c | 41.43$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.61 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 53c | 40.43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x190b…85aebacked Under | 51c | 32.35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Under | 63c | 28.72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2e…3fb7backed Under | 50c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Under | 51c | 25.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 56c | 20.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CD Universidad Católica vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 2.5this page
- CD Universidad Católica vs. CA Boca Juniors: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CD Universidad Católica vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 1.5Over won
- CD Universidad Católica vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 3.5Under won
- CD Universidad Católica vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CA Boca Juniors (-1.5)CD Universidad Católica won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.