Movies · resolved market
Will "Forbidden Fruits" score at least 76 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5936a0a763329d63ce927b3413114fa6f2cf24b143d95697ea7f953ed15bd58b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,630
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,051
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,630 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x57c8…a12fbacked Yes | 33c | 1,011$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.84 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes | 53c | 1,004$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.95 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68e3…934abacked Yes | 40c | 886.63$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ee…1988backed No | 60c | 886.63$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…883abacked Yes | 29c | 864$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed9f…f6b6backed No | 71c | 864$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdacb…9458backed Yes | 30c | 831.56$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf45e…6e29backed No | 70c | 831.56$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 50c | 596.33$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.67 | 111 | 29.7%33 W · 78 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59e4…c67bbacked No | 57c | 565.12$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.63 | 63 | 30.2%19 W · 44 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 30c | 457.31$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.21 | 142 | 40.1%57 W · 85 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 39c | 425$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.73 | 237 | 51.9%123 W · 114 L | +16.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdff8…3c8bbacked No | 70c | 300$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…87f2backed No | 69c | 255$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.95 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 16c | 249.18$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.9 | 167 | 41.9%70 W · 97 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…ddaabacked No | 67c | 240.79$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.85 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 67c | 198$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.14 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked No | 24c | 123.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.89 | 49 | 20.4%10 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…7da2backed No | 65c | 99.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f66…3a50backed Yes | 52c | 86.39$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.73 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f08…54d3backed No | 66c | 75.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca12…ea03backed Yes | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +4.7wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +88.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 35c | 46.76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.19 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -10.3wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Forbidden Fruits" score at least 76 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?this page
- Will "Forbidden Fruits" score at least 79 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes won
- Will "Forbidden Fruits" score at least 88 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.