South American Leagues · resolved market
Spread: CD Riestra (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6ab40207570b389e6e3f4a41faf10d5cdbe7e38e2786c8aabb484459dcf24a80
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CD Palestinoof CD Riestra, CD Palestino
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,919
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,180
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,919 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c76…c926backed CD Riestra | 40c | 965.76$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.53 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed CD Palestino | 75c | 903.11$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.71 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…ddaabacked CD Riestra | 24c | 499.97$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.99 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -5.6wins | -0.33per pick | 45cpaid | -77.4%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked CD Palestino | 76c | 339.4$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.73 | 332 | 66.3%220 W · 112 L | +24.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked CD Palestino | 70c | 305$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.5 | 337 | 45.4%153 W · 184 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed CD Riestra | 24c | 299.62$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.33 | 148 | 24.3%36 W · 112 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff4…d735backed CD Palestino | 31c | 144$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 31cpaid | +131.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed CD Palestino | 70c | 100.47$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.14 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed CD Palestino | 70c | 69.62$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.88 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…6b1ebacked CD Riestra | 33c | 59.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3892…4093backed CD Palestino | 29c | 56.49$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.11 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked CD Palestino | 70c | 41.46$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.44 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed CD Palestino | 78c | 38.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked CD Palestino | 61c | 25.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…eeb8backed CD Palestino | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 63 | 69.8%44 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 75cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked CD Palestino | 72c | 24.58$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.88 | 286 | 65%186 W · 100 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed CD Palestino | 71c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: CD Riestra (-1.5)this page
- CD Riestra vs. CD Palestino: O/U 1.5Under won
- CD Riestra vs. CD Palestino: O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: CD Palestino (-2.5)CD Riestra won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.