Dota2 · resolved market
Team Falcons to win 2-0?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcfa5a9537bbbde2de64c67cc8fe5604e3a5355a4349bbce17dc7584beea82812
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,908
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,358
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,908 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed No | 34c | 3,551$1,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,333.94 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x758f…dfb7backed Yes | 65c | 3,013$1,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,958.57 | 346 | 67.9%235 W · 111 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe70d…a72fbacked Yes | 65c | 3,005$1,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,963.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Yes | 63c | 2,500$1,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,575 | 179 | 48.6%87 W · 92 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c9…a452backed No | 37c | 2,184$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,375.92 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +123.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3452…1ba0backed Yes | 66c | 2,174$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,424.83 | 183 | 51.9%95 W · 88 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed No | 35c | 2,092$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,365.71 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…2208backed No | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.99 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed No | 37c | 1,910$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,203.29 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd9…de31backed Yes | 66c | 1,520$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.2 | 142 | 58.5%83 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 63c | 1,517$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.79 | 251 | 43.4%109 W · 142 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed No | 31c | 1,500$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.99 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…e6a6backed Yes | 1c | 1,393$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 34c | 1,092$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.4 | 381 | 42%160 W · 221 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8840…f51abacked Yes | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +150%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 37c | 950.99$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.5 | 196 | 43.9%86 W · 110 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1f…d6d5backed Yes | 65c | 923.95$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked No | 47c | 668.94$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.17 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6200…7d23backed Yes | 65c | 650.9$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.99 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Yes | 55c | 642.27$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.7 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed No | 75c | 639.91$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.09 | 520 | 46.5%242 W · 278 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea2…de87backed Yes | 2c | 614.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Yes | 63c | 591$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.33 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked No | 32c | 565.17$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.61 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 25c | 423$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.79 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 23c | 406$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.78 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked No | 38c | 403.16$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.36 | 267 | 41.9%112 W · 155 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 36c | 384.59$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.67 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa936…8ee6backed Yes | 43c | 369.56$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.76 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce6…79eebacked No | 38c | 367.83$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 5c | 356$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 665 | 45.6%303 W · 362 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09a6…73c7backed Yes | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 34c | 300$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 334 | 45.2%151 W · 183 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked No | 36c | 270$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.8 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf58d…1fadbacked No | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Yes | 50c | 249.9$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.99 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Yes | 58c | 231.47$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.96 | 173 | 30.1%52 W · 121 L | -16.2wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…ccfebacked Yes | 61c | 226.21$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.32 | 546 | 59.7%326 W · 220 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 36c | 225.38$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.13 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d8…c3f8backed No | 36c | 223.79$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.22 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -8.6wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9aff…b136backed Yes | 62c | 213.16$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.16 | 324 | 45.1%146 W · 178 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948a…d1a4backed Yes | 49c | 202.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 242 | 55%133 W · 109 L | +14.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41f4…ee16backed Yes | 66c | 200.91$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.54 | 385 | 47.5%183 W · 202 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed No | 37c | 199.99$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.39 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed Yes | 66c | 199.99$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.99 | 675 | 55%371 W · 304 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa245…2152backed No | 34c | 199.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.99 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70fb…9d50backed Yes | 63c | 175.98$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbda…d2c0backed Yes | 63c | 174.83$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 108 | 70.4%76 W · 32 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcc…ee29backed Yes | 62c | 160.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 174 | 51.7%90 W · 84 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98ba…4212backed Yes | 64c | 156.48$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…8731backed No | 37c | 156$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.28 | 259 | 56.8%147 W · 112 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 38c | 155.02$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.83 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59e2…1c55backed Yes | 65c | 139.97$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.61 | 475 | 48%228 W · 247 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24cc…0927backed Yes | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed No | 42c | 129$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.11 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…38e8backed Yes | 8c | 122.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 332 | 3%10 W · 322 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 38c | 121.53$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.7 | 529 | 50.9%269 W · 260 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed No | 35c | 116.37$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.07 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 54c | 111.47$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.64 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed No | 41c | 104.98$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.25 | 438 | 60.5%265 W · 173 L | +44.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…2f08backed Yes | 42c | 102.7$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.63 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3c…9f22backed Yes | 62c | 100.32$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59d8…ad87backed No | 33c | 99.02$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.54 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed No | 57c | 96.45$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.41 | 194 | 60.3%117 W · 77 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…8e7ebacked No | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 338 | 54.1%183 W · 155 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf76…ffeabacked No | 34c | 93$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.23 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +7.6wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked No | 38c | 80$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.3 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x313b…cae3backed No | 51c | 65.79$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.52 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed No | 56c | 65$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.35 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee59…e42abacked No | 47c | 63.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.82 | 288 | 46.9%135 W · 153 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0dfcbacked No | 30c | 55.01$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.46 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed No | 37c | 50.43$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.02 | 250 | 47.6%119 W · 131 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9867backed Yes | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 925 | 61.2%566 W · 359 L | +53.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef0d…ef1cbacked No | 42c | 49.02$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.43 | 227 | 40.5%92 W · 135 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ea…bc49backed Yes | 62c | 48.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb11…9845backed No | 31c | 47.62$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.84 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a2…a9bfbacked Yes | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 194 | 55.7%108 W · 86 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6e…2175backed Yes | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc63d…ee73backed Yes | 63c | 42.38$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.72 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2d…2be7backed No | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -4.9wins | -0.23per pick | 42cpaid | -67%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 36c | 40.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce1f…7392backed Yes | 60c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 678 | 53.5%363 W · 315 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed No | 32c | 37.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.61 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +11.8wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked No | 27c | 37.13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.1 | 614 | 49.5%304 W · 310 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3016…9ffdbacked No | 33c | 37$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.73 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed No | 55c | 36.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.28 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa7…afb4backed No | 31c | 34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75b0…7a6fbacked Yes | 63c | 31.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.37per pick | 57cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked No | 76c | 30.2$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.37 | 240 | 34.2%82 W · 158 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8d…f40dbacked Yes | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 447 | 71.1%318 W · 129 L | +27.1wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 38c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.75 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e6…8532backed Yes | 43c | 25.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed Yes | 63c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x089f…dddabacked Yes | 67c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 113 | 63.7%72 W · 41 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f4…5a16backed Yes | 57c | 21.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ef…e2c9backed Yes | 59c | 20.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x240d…4770backed Yes | 64c | 16.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Team Falcons to win 2-0?this page
- OG to win 2-0?Yes won
- Team Falcons vs OG: Draw (1-1)?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.