Premier League · resolved market
Will Newcastle win on 2025-01-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a2c8997fb1b4e516c4f6ae9f28cca95ae71087a1460dce8a0f940026ac00334
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,687
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,582
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,687 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 180 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes | 69c | 10,034$6,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,082.94 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 30c | 7,519$2,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,265.26 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 31c | 4,000$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240 | 320 | 37.2%119 W · 201 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 30c | 3,050$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.08 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes | 71c | 3,000$2,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.41 | 321 | 58.9%189 W · 132 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed No | 29c | 1,938$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.21 | 166 | 60.8%101 W · 65 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…57f9backed Yes | 71c | 1,691$1,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.36 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…339bbacked No | 28c | 1,642$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.86 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6909…36b5backed Yes | 72c | 1,572$1,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.05 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed No | 30c | 1,455$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.48 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Yes | 71c | 1,422$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.54 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Yes | 70c | 1,406$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.9 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Yes | 72c | 1,383$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.81 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Yes | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 30c | 1,000$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.6 | 346 | 43.9%152 W · 194 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed No | 28c | 999.99$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 33c | 962.17$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.57 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed No | 29c | 822$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.38 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8cad…4a69backed Yes | 78c | 709.08$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…c4c8backed No | 22c | 705$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.65 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf15b…0934backed No | 31c | 600$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.81 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 30c | 599.86$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.96 | 297 | 51.9%154 W · 143 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 66c | 562.73$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.33 | 141 | 56.7%80 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 72c | 499.99$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | -23.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d1b…5adbbacked Yes | 72c | 399.99$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eae…f263backed Yes | 71c | 355.78$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 29c | 346$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.22 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 29c | 346$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.22 | 561 | 58.6%329 W · 232 L | +29.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c29…a12fbacked No | 30c | 333.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.97 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 29c | 324.38$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.97 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 70c | 300$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1d…fa35backed Yes | 71c | 300$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e7…35b1backed Yes | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 24c | 255.58$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 240 | 44.2%106 W · 134 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 29c | 223.47$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.26 | 605 | 57.5%348 W · 257 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 29c | 205$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.73 | 599 | 58.9%353 W · 246 L | +26.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf44d…68acbacked No | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked No | 30c | 200$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a31…fed2backed Yes | 73c | 180.91$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.86 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…451ebacked No | 30c | 173.73$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.52 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0e…4dc6backed No | 29c | 168.55$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec89…3286backed Yes | 72c | 153.47$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.47 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Yes | 68c | 147.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.13 | 133 | 36.1%48 W · 85 L | -12.7wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb586…7f97backed Yes | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa64a…21dabacked Yes | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecb…070fbacked Yes | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8167…3051backed Yes | 71c | 140$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78c2…8316backed Yes | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9c…d01bbacked Yes | 74c | 135.64$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.64 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe227…55d8backed Yes | 71c | 130.7$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.9 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d00…d4b4backed Yes | 71c | 129.41$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.53 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 72cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 70c | 124.28$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.28 | 327 | 36.4%119 W · 208 L | -21.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba99…8f26backed No | 25c | 121.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 29c | 110.92$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.17 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30bc…2529backed No | 30c | 100.31$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.09 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd92…9e72backed Yes | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1466…1d5abacked Yes | 71c | 98.61$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -52%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…b4b2backed Yes | 69c | 95.05$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.42 | 214 | 63.1%135 W · 79 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1453…eac7backed Yes | 73c | 85.96$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.21 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -5.5wins | -0.22per pick | 54cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Yes | 73c | 82.19$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.19 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fca…4657backed Yes | 72c | 76.91$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.91 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a06…d20ebacked Yes | 72c | 76.39$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.39 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -9.4wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -31%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 15c | 74.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ef…e2c9backed Yes | 69c | 72.45$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -5.3wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x13d0…e3dcbacked Yes | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.3wins | -0.41per pick | 54cpaid | -82.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x152f…cc4ebacked Yes | 72c | 69.51$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.46 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1668…c545backed Yes | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba86…a66abacked Yes | 72c | 69.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.13 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf22a…1697backed No | 28c | 68.83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6081…cdc8backed Yes | 72c | 64.26$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b4f…5aa3backed Yes | 72c | 63.95$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…f0e7backed Yes | 69c | 60.28$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.69 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x459a…b67dbacked No | 29c | 60.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda4f…e43bbacked Yes | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4975…c492backed Yes | 71c | 56.25$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab15…e666backed Yes | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x987d…7afdbacked Yes | 72c | 54.14$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.16 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f68…f439backed No | 29c | 52.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef1a…b260backed Yes | 72c | 50.22$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…2858backed No | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0b…f974backed Yes | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe234…a285backed Yes | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8799…2dedbacked No | 29c | 49.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0137…4709backed Yes | 72c | 49.43$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef70…b525backed No | 32c | 45.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7513…d71abacked No | 29c | 43.91$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc2b…8be3backed No | 28c | 42.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 291 | 46%134 W · 157 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cd…9973backed Yes | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -9.9wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x369b…5129backed No | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x971b…213ebacked No | 28c | 36.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 70c | 35.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b91…27dcbacked Yes | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -7.3wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7995…cff4backed Yes | 71c | 34.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…1e29backed Yes | 70c | 33.8$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fec…0707backed Yes | 71c | 32.86$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb811…d0c9backed Yes | 73c | 32.28$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x334b…c9d7backed Yes | 72c | 32.23$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc17d…aa9dbacked Yes | 72c | 31.74$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c69…b44cbacked Yes | 71c | 31.42$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.11 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +103.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Newcastle win on 2025-01-15?this page
- Will Newcastle vs. Wolves end in a draw?No won
- Will Wolves win on 2025-01-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.