South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA River Plate win on 2026-03-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5052f69e83f6916e433b9b6c85ed1ce26d043dbb536aaa7dc4d05619ad209c5c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $101,857
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,857 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 174 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x03aa…7d3dbacked Yes | 70c | 15,226$10,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,507.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 62c | 10,000$6,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,799.96 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ad…c898backed No | 5c | 5,350$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 37c | 4,424$1,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620.82 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed No | 32c | 3,500$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f9…87b0backed No | 32c | 3,118$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.61 | 183 | 52.5%96 W · 87 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked No | 32c | 2,500$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 39c | 1,751$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.98 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dca…87d0backed Yes | 61c | 1,515$929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.73 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 12c | 1,044$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.19 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2901…99f3backed Yes | 66c | 1,021$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.03 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed No | 24c | 751.14$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.27 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 35c | 560.5$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.72 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked No | 13c | 522.45$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.73 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc39…1564backed No | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee02…8132backed No | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b05…434ebacked No | 32c | 472.25$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 11c | 445.01$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.04 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 37c | 442.72$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.7 | 282 | 31.6%89 W · 193 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2d…40b1backed No | 33c | 421.97$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.18 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 45cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 32c | 400$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Yes | 67c | 373.13$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.13 | 191 | 44.5%85 W · 106 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcc…c7dabacked Yes | 68c | 367.94$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3c…b4f5backed No | 16c | 321.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 33c | 300$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 114 | 59.6%68 W · 46 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed No | 33c | 290.3$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.59 | 235 | 42.1%99 W · 136 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 31c | 289.86$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.86 | 337 | 45.4%153 W · 184 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6534…4700backed Yes | 69c | 284.64$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 34c | 250$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 31c | 250$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ae…33b8backed Yes | 69c | 234.32$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.16 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 21c | 231.24$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.69 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 32c | 225$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5de…882dbacked Yes | 68c | 220.59$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 32c | 219.85$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.35 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 29c | 211.48$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.73 | 270 | 53%143 W · 127 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 24c | 200.33$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.08 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe013…1ddcbacked No | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb03…9732backed Yes | 68c | 199.06$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.06 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -6.0wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 32c | 197.8$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.34 | 194 | 60.3%117 W · 77 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 32c | 195$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 307 | 54.7%168 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed No | 37c | 192.85$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.98 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -6.8wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa796…82fdbacked Yes | 67c | 191.04$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.04 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed No | 33c | 190.91$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.38 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 30c | 180$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x907b…e465backed Yes | 68c | 178.57$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 10c | 166.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 32c | 151.75$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.56 | 135 | 45.2%61 W · 74 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No | 32c | 150$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked No | 31c | 150$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe364…2d04backed No | 34c | 150$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 31c | 150$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 312 | 26.6%83 W · 229 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 32c | 150$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 127 | 61.4%78 W · 49 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed No | 32c | 150$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc9d…d590backed Yes | 68c | 150$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4865…904dbacked Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 67cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e74…93bcbacked Yes | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 26 | 76.9%20 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x052e…7926backed Yes | 68c | 146.43$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.43 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5668…f3fdbacked No | 34c | 146$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…189abacked Yes | 68c | 145.28$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.49 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 33c | 134.35$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.34 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 32c | 133.51$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.3 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd086…6b7dbacked No | 33c | 132$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0705…260cbacked No | 34c | 131$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdc…2234backed No | 13c | 129.16$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 30c | 127.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.86 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed No | 32c | 125$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb56a…a2eabacked No | 34c | 122$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f2…bfa5backed No | 33c | 119$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 33c | 116.63$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.96 | 175 | 60.6%106 W · 69 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed No | 32c | 115$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 32c | 113.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.48 | 154 | 59.1%91 W · 63 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 32c | 113.73$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.78 | 135 | 57%77 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 33c | 106.47$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.69 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6547…19e6backed No | 34c | 106$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3160…6e54backed No | 34c | 105$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2b…d4e9backed No | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +7.1wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed No | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed No | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked Yes | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 179 | 60.3%108 W · 71 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7eb…a668backed Yes | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 74c | 94.43$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.53 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked No | 32c | 90$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed No | 32c | 90$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed No | 32c | 90$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee4…4b3ebacked No | 33c | 88.21$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.11 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 32c | 85.93$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.78 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…0a8dbacked No | 33c | 84.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2257…eb1bbacked Yes | 68c | 81.34$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.03 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 46cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 33c | 79.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.34 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 28c | 79.69$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.23 | 200 | 22.5%45 W · 155 L | -13.1wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 18c | 74.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x445c…c4f1backed Yes | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 33c | 71.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22b3…dcafbacked Yes | 67c | 70.66$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.32 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 35c | 70.09$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5201…0c88backed Yes | 62c | 68.91$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 31c | 65.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA River Plate win on 2026-03-15?this page
- Will CA River Plate vs. CA Sarmiento end in a draw?No won
- Will CA Sarmiento win on 2026-03-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.