Fifa International · resolved market
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 9.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd30b0cf8e17ca17691d09286b340749a445aadae66e17d5aae0792336417b093
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $110,670
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $105,697
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,670 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under | 58c | 68,634$39,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,842.91 | 644 | 46.4%299 W · 345 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 42c | 60,000$25,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,200 | 379 | 59.1%224 W · 155 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9243…658ebacked Under | 64c | 25,000$16,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,899.98 | 152 | 49.3%75 W · 77 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 36c | 10,428$3,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,702.01 | 355 | 49.9%177 W · 178 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Over | 36c | 10,428$3,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,702.01 | 297 | 40.1%119 W · 178 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 42c | 3,404$1,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,442.95 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca1…678fbacked Over | 36c | 2,298$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.44 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Over | 1c | 2,250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 95 | 2.1%2 W · 93 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Over | 36c | 2,164$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.9 | 91 | 26.4%24 W · 67 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 41c | 2,147$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.76 | 407 | 36.6%149 W · 258 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 12c | 1,815$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.17 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Over | 40c | 1,686$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.02 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Over | 41c | 1,500$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615 | 166 | 47.6%79 W · 87 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 37c | 999.99$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.99 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed Over | 40c | 999.98$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.99 | 144 | 33.3%48 W · 96 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15a9…27b7backed Under | 58c | 953.45$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…6207backed Under | 63c | 909.51$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.52 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 42c | 584.02$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.56 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…3e2dbacked Over | 20c | 550$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +122.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb47b…c6b1backed Over | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 124 | 41.9%52 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed Under | 59c | 459$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.19 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 64c | 420.91$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.96 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Over | 43c | 400$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 126 | 53.2%67 W · 59 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1c…debbbacked Over | 42c | 349.68$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.6 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4e9…1e89backed Over | 37c | 349$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.13 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -6.8wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Over | 13c | 319.95$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.93 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…bfe8backed Over | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Under | 58c | 299.98$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.99 | 399 | 51.6%206 W · 193 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 35c | 290.77$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.77 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over | 43c | 262.69$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.71 | 1,306 | 44.7%584 W · 722 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc428…24f1backed Under | 65c | 258.46$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.46 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -41%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47e1…da31backed Over | 31c | 224.56$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 40c | 215.71$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.23 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Over | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 188 | 22.3%42 W · 146 L | -16.3wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…9559backed Under | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 144 | 49.3%71 W · 73 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 36c | 183.12$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.06 | 508 | 50%254 W · 254 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63db…174cbacked Under | 66c | 150.13$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.73 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf05b…c2aebacked Over | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -5.3wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x844c…f5f0backed Over | 42c | 126.19$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e83…3bb7backed Over | 42c | 119.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 1,206 | 32.7%394 W · 812 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Under | 63c | 117.95$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.64 | 333 | 50.5%168 W · 165 L | +24.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over | 36c | 116.03$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.28 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2666…ade6backed Over | 38c | 106.05$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba17…5c67backed Over | 43c | 99.58$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.32 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28b3…08e3backed Under | 59c | 86.83$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.83 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fa…140bbacked Under | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 167 | 50.3%84 W · 83 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc51d…0c67backed Over | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9605…a2c4backed Over | 36c | 72.22$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 212 | 26.9%57 W · 155 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Over | 35c | 70.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 709 | 48.9%347 W · 362 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09a8…47c1backed Over | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 54c | 68.3$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.42 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b7…fd93backed Over | 44c | 63.36$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…6b1ebacked Over | 49c | 61.53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 114 | 31.6%36 W · 78 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf167…809dbacked Over | 25c | 52.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…c548backed Over | 36c | 52.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.74 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x933c…cecebacked Over | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bc…e09bbacked Over | 37c | 49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb77f…265bbacked Over | 38c | 46.16$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…f0bebacked Over | 38c | 42.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 77 | 29.9%23 W · 54 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84e0…439abacked Over | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe89…e3c0backed Over | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfafc…c7a2backed Over | 38c | 36.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc868…7bd7backed Over | 36c | 34.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 42c | 30.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 681 | 41.1%280 W · 401 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf70d…17d3backed Under | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e6…82debacked Over | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.4wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa07e…f29dbacked Over | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 59c | 29.81$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 63c | 28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e4…c62abacked Over | 45c | 26.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 60cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x73cc…c092backed Over | 40c | 25.21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Over | 42c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…8d92backed Over | 41c | 24.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Under | 55c | 24.53$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.93 | 215 | 65.1%140 W · 75 L | +16.4wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e03…beaabacked Over | 48c | 20.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Mexico vs. South Africa: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Mexico vs. South Africa: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico O/U 6.5 CornersUnder won
- Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 7.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Mexico vs. South Africa: South Africa O/U 2.5 CornersUnder won
- Mexico vs. South Africa: South Africa O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- Mexico vs. South Africa: Team to Take First CornerMexico won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.