Fifa International · resolved market
Mexico vs. South Africa: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc379f02389c15a8ca93630a8cb3c6fc18b6bb57889d1aa95beff3e865e2e8eca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,932
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,895
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,932 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 47c | 358.33$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.41 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…8731backed Under | 52c | 301.98$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.95 | 119 | 63%75 W · 44 L | +10.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 52c | 271$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Under | 51c | 268.47$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.55 | 227 | 52.4%119 W · 108 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 48c | 262.5$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1907…85b9backed Over | 42c | 212.42$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.1 | 92 | 39.1%36 W · 56 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee5a…9f70backed Under | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 55c | 197.89$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.39 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Over | 49c | 179.59$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 624 | 52.7%329 W · 295 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4978…3378backed Under | 60c | 93$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11f5…ea34backed Over | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 222 | 42.3%94 W · 128 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7732…a330backed Over | 54c | 67.53$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.47 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Under | 46c | 63.77$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.44 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +9.5wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x206f…631bbacked Over | 48c | 54.17$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf13…3366backed Over | 57c | 45.4$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 51c | 41.29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb157…4ebdbacked Under | 63c | 34.69$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.68 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf96b…9c4cbacked Under | 46c | 27.6$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.9 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | +21.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +25%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2da6…878bbacked Over | 45c | 25.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mexico vs. South Africa: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Mexico vs. South Africa: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico O/U 6.5 CornersUnder won
- Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 7.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Mexico vs. South Africa: South Africa O/U 2.5 CornersUnder won
- Mexico vs. South Africa: South Africa O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- Mexico vs. South Africa: Team to Take First CornerMexico won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.