Fifa International · resolved market
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 7.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x59992d854962c34a274a6d8d54398832bdf79de5670ba26e8a08a37570e9d327
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,705
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,371
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,705 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6149…b48cbacked Under | 44c | 6,822$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,822 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 56c | 6,787$3,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,800.87 | 379 | 59.1%224 W · 155 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Over | 62c | 2,319$1,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,437.79 | 311 | 52.7%164 W · 147 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 38c | 1,761$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092.13 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67a5…3516backed Under | 49c | 1,022$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.13 | 224 | 41.5%93 W · 131 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1326…fdffbacked Over | 45c | 895.4$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 189 | 36%68 W · 121 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 56c | 713.93$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.75 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 38c | 593$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.66 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…9559backed Under | 36c | 462.72$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.14 | 144 | 49.3%71 W · 73 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf58c…0b79backed Over | 64c | 390.63$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcac5…e087backed Over | 63c | 340$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 62c | 208.67$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.48 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…8731backed Under | 58c | 203.09$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.08 | 119 | 63%75 W · 44 L | +10.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fd…62f1backed Over | 38c | 93.13$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.77 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Over | 28c | 93$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.99 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b14…d18cbacked Over | 42c | 85$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Under | 58c | 80$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 572 | 52.4%300 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47e1…da31backed Over | 44c | 68.68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb124…7380backed Over | 64c | 62.9$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 345 | 37.1%128 W · 217 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11f5…ea34backed Over | 43c | 62.03$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 222 | 42.3%94 W · 128 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3a…7fdcbacked Over | 42c | 59.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce0f…5c9ebacked Over | 45c | 58.7$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.42 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -5.9wins | -0.20per pick | 46cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8c97…5c66backed Over | 40c | 53.42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.37 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 1,306 | 44.7%584 W · 722 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7541…7d35backed Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9af…7245backed Over | 45c | 44.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 39c | 43.03$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 637 | 45.4%289 W · 348 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c33…9ac6backed Over | 63c | 42.29$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ca…cccbbacked Over | 39c | 41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +5.4wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd57d…590ebacked Over | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Over | 65c | 32.83$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.23 | 209 | 68.4%143 W · 66 L | +21.5wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9545…d6f7backed Over | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab67…3466backed Over | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 42cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x038f…ecc5backed Over | 48c | 30.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe77c…a834backed Over | 39c | 25.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6216…1bd4backed Under | 58c | 23.81$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 237 | 41.8%99 W · 138 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 56c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked Over | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 145 | 26.2%38 W · 107 L | -11.8wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Under | 63c | 19.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.22 | 198 | 62.1%123 W · 75 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Under | 78c | 18.03$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 607 | 52.4%318 W · 289 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Mexico vs. South Africa: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Mexico vs. South Africa: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico O/U 6.5 CornersUnder won
- Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Mexico vs. South Africa: South Africa O/U 2.5 CornersUnder won
- Mexico vs. South Africa: South Africa O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- Mexico vs. South Africa: Team to Take First CornerMexico won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.