TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Nerman Fatic vs Luka Mikrut

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Nerman Faticof Nerman Fatic, Luka Mikrut
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$47,045
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$48,881

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,045 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0979…8d9bbacked Nerman Fatic54c22,172$11,923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,248.714757.1%84 W · 63 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Luka Mikrut46c7,000$3,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,2204,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Luka Mikrut32c6,783$2,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,170.491,19348.9%583 W · 610 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Luka Mikrut46c6,440$2,963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,962.561,65849.9%828 W · 830 L+7.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Nerman Fatic66c3,000$1,989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,010.738,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Nerman Fatic70c1,731$1,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.54,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Luka Mikrut44c1,148$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.4911,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Luka Mikrut47c1,124$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.3642341.4%175 W · 248 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Luka Mikrut47c1,040$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.142,46238.5%948 W · 1,514 L+93.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3f4…a47fbacked Nerman Fatic70c1,032$722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.616068.3%41 W · 19 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Luka Mikrut47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47085634.2%293 W · 563 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5af…f9e3backed Luka Mikrut28c932.54$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26130225.8%78 W · 224 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6c3…55a3backed Luka Mikrut49c884.6$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.4514835.8%53 W · 95 L-10.4wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-28.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Nerman Fatic71c793.98$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.9692145.2%416 W · 505 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Nerman Fatic69c787.16$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.044,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Luka Mikrut46c699.95$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.981,09452.4%573 W · 521 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Nerman Fatic78c681.49$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.795,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x95c5…d5d3backed Luka Mikrut48c621.66$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30060158.6%352 W · 249 L+2.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Luka Mikrut47c598.76$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.534,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Luka Mikrut46c500$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23022449.6%111 W · 113 L+17.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+20.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Luka Mikrut41c424.13$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.366,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Luka Mikrut32c400$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.61,22841.1%505 W · 723 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Luka Mikrut46c387$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.687,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Luka Mikrut36c336.64$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.199,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Luka Mikrut47c320$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.481047.9%388 W · 422 L+30.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Luka Mikrut31c308.1$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.9528933.2%96 W · 193 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa070…c103backed Luka Mikrut22c290.86$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.856051.7%31 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe463…f7b2backed Nerman Fatic51c263.14$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.9410350.5%52 W · 51 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f81…9a48backed Luka Mikrut47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006841.2%28 W · 40 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05c5…8181backed Luka Mikrut48c209.95$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10081256.2%456 W · 356 L-3.8wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Nerman Fatic72c208.33$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.331,06242%446 W · 616 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Luka Mikrut46c205.04$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.0668951.1%352 W · 337 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f64…3633backed Nerman Fatic52c196$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.0899249.4%490 W · 502 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf19…feccbacked Nerman Fatic52c192.94$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.612100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+200.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3504…1f40backed Nerman Fatic75c190.93$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.736665.2%43 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ff8…d7fdbacked Nerman Fatic53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6843449.1%213 W · 221 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x610b…36a3backed Nerman Fatic54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1954744.4%243 W · 304 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Nerman Fatic54c182.3$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.2697141.4%402 W · 569 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Nerman Fatic67c178.8$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.876,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Nerman Fatic67c178.41$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.214,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed Luka Mikrut46c160$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.638741.1%159 W · 228 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Nerman Fatic68c159.31$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.982,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Nerman Fatic52c158.88$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.022,08544.5%928 W · 1,157 L-51.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Nerman Fatic70c152.92$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.471,02843.3%445 W · 583 L-24.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a7…e5d4backed Luka Mikrut48c138.94$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.7320942.6%89 W · 120 L-0.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Luka Mikrut47c136.22$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed Luka Mikrut46c133.62$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.4726849.3%132 W · 136 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfffa…17c5backed Nerman Fatic74c130.2$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.2436545.2%165 W · 200 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b3e…ae5bbacked Luka Mikrut48c125$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603435.3%12 W · 22 L-4.3wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-30.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Luka Mikrut46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,86545.6%851 W · 1,014 L+50.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4cb7…3644backed Luka Mikrut49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5026451.5%136 W · 128 L-0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x681d…4cbfbacked Luka Mikrut49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016446.3%76 W · 88 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7c7…3b08backed Luka Mikrut49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5050958%295 W · 214 L-26.5wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-7.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Nerman Fatic73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2795742.1%403 W · 554 L-24.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d18…6f62backed Nerman Fatic51c99.98$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.9956062.5%350 W · 210 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32f6…9538backed Nerman Fatic53c97.26$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.71580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+54.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Nerman Fatic75c76.1$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.918,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4166…4f83backed Luka Mikrut28c75.42$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2112938.8%50 W · 79 L+0.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Luka Mikrut48c75$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4204…165abacked Luka Mikrut48c72.92$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Nerman Fatic50c72.64$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.321,86544.7%834 W · 1,031 L+36.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca20…7b68backed Luka Mikrut42c69.8$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.557447.7%274 W · 300 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Nerman Fatic66c68.5$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.141,35443.9%595 W · 759 L-62.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-24.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x290e…0783backed Nerman Fatic53c67.86$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.13425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-52.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Luka Mikrut48c62.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301,12551.1%575 W · 550 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8499…950dbacked Luka Mikrut49c60.8$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3013043.1%56 W · 74 L-7.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x574e…0436backed Luka Mikrut32c59.38$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1923754.4%129 W · 108 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Luka Mikrut27c55.56$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1558750.4%296 W · 291 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Luka Mikrut35c51.82$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.942,34351.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L+95.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf874…def4backed Luka Mikrut49c50.41$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6512843%55 W · 73 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Luka Mikrut43c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.583047%390 W · 440 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Luka Mikrut28c47.26$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.412,04946.8%958 W · 1,091 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf753…bcfebacked Luka Mikrut25c45.11$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1453736.9%198 W · 339 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf73f…8ba0backed Luka Mikrut48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2032837.5%123 W · 205 L-13.1wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf17a…f7b2backed Luka Mikrut48c41.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203953.8%21 W · 18 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x52f2…5a5dbacked Nerman Fatic74c35.41$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.268757.5%50 W · 37 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc5f…cf7cbacked Luka Mikrut49c33.67$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.516047.5%76 W · 84 L+8.0wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Nerman Fatic53c32.3$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.181,63955.1%903 W · 736 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3eb4…9cb8backed Nerman Fatic51c32$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.686852.9%36 W · 32 L+6.9wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+27.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf6a1…5a4fbacked Luka Mikrut49c31.78$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.523844.7%17 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Luka Mikrut46c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.81,24041.2%511 W · 729 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Luka Mikrut49c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5733550.1%168 W · 167 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x66c0…5fc2backed Nerman Fatic53c24.53$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.5327853.2%148 W · 130 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc7e…b96ebacked Nerman Fatic54c24.07$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.07333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Nerman Fatic52c20.9$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.032,56163%1,613 W · 948 L-10.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked Nerman Fatic66c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.888273.5%648 W · 234 L+19.8wins+0.02per pick71cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.