Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: FS (-1.5) vs ZETA DIVISION (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x360996692e03178b66b038eef9dcd5346494f7ebafb35f9a44fd998611527e06
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ZETA DIVISIONof FULL SENSE, ZETA DIVISION
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,199
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,295
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,199 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7786…c005backed ZETA DIVISION | 52c | 658.78$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.2 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa371…eaa5backed FULL SENSE | 46c | 435.94$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf321…0315backed FULL SENSE | 47c | 420$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.4 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed ZETA DIVISION | 53c | 404.45$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.09 | 141 | 58.2%82 W · 59 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked ZETA DIVISION | 48c | 379.68$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.97 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c1e…64d0backed FULL SENSE | 52c | 371.93$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.8wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -43%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…6182backed FULL SENSE | 51c | 306.64$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…f7dbbacked ZETA DIVISION | 53c | 299.22$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.83 | 162 | 41.4%67 W · 95 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed FULL SENSE | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 238 | 47.9%114 W · 124 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed ZETA DIVISION | 54c | 209$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.14 | 634 | 47.9%304 W · 330 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75c1…22e4backed FULL SENSE | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -8.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed ZETA DIVISION | 49c | 204.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 179 | 48.6%87 W · 92 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x009c…049bbacked FULL SENSE | 49c | 203.43$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc36…d35dbacked ZETA DIVISION | 53c | 146.94$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.06 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed ZETA DIVISION | 57c | 134.86$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.94 | 201 | 60.2%121 W · 80 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed ZETA DIVISION | 52c | 125$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 223 | 46.6%104 W · 119 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98ba…4212backed FULL SENSE | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed ZETA DIVISION | 48c | 100.52$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.83 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb797…1cf3backed FULL SENSE | 49c | 71.43$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4627…7c23backed FULL SENSE | 49c | 67.36$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.76 | 229 | 55%126 W · 103 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c65…2e0dbacked ZETA DIVISION | 56c | 44.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.78 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5a…c420backed FULL SENSE | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed FULL SENSE | 45c | 33.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25a4…69f6backed FULL SENSE | 45c | 28.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2405…e055backed ZETA DIVISION | 51c | 27.87$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 149 | 55.7%83 W · 66 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed ZETA DIVISION | 54c | 27.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…3f1cbacked ZETA DIVISION | 55c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed ZETA DIVISION | 54c | 22.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 666 | 50.8%338 W · 328 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: FS (-1.5) vs ZETA DIVISION (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Valorant: FULL SENSE vs ZETA DIVISION (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group AlphaZETA DIVISION won
- Valorant: FULL SENSE vs ZETA DIVISION - Map 1 WinnerFULL SENSE won
- Valorant: FULL SENSE vs ZETA DIVISION - Map 2 WinnerZETA DIVISION won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.