Valorant · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x101af55d03954b75ca722e0c98d9ebc0be9d94fd8dec0b0f977b3f3c883a5453
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,290
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,386
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,290 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x71a5…b594backed Over | 44c | 999.97$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.98 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Over | 43c | 546.19$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.07 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Over | 42c | 500.1$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.06 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Under | 56c | 474.48$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.71 | 565 | 51.2%289 W · 276 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…aa7dbacked Under | 56c | 293.29$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.24 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e03…040fbacked Under | 56c | 293.29$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.24 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc36…d35dbacked Over | 43c | 286.05$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.05 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Over | 41c | 260.14$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.48 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Under | 56c | 174.71$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.84 | 179 | 48.6%87 W · 92 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Over | 42c | 171.4$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.41 | 634 | 47.9%304 W · 330 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked Over | 43c | 139.74$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.65 | 195 | 51.3%100 W · 95 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x845d…aef6backed Under | 53c | 82.94$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.26 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Over | 59c | 71.54$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.63 | 492 | 55.3%272 W · 220 L | +23.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -19%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Over | 43c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Over | 73c | 57.7$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.58 | 391 | 66%258 W · 133 L | +24.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b6…d353backed Over | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 251 | 46.6%117 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…3f1cbacked Over | 44c | 48.53$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.18 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked Over | 44c | 44.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.96 | 168 | 39.3%66 W · 102 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Under | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 31c | 35.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 407 | 31.7%129 W · 278 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef1…4a76backed Over | 45c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Over | 34c | 32.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.86 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: FS (-1.5) vs ZETA DIVISION (+1.5)ZETA DIVISION won
- Valorant: FULL SENSE vs ZETA DIVISION (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group AlphaZETA DIVISION won
- Valorant: FULL SENSE vs ZETA DIVISION - Map 1 WinnerFULL SENSE won
- Valorant: FULL SENSE vs ZETA DIVISION - Map 2 WinnerZETA DIVISION won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.