Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on May 9?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x63b8467421abe714dfb4550156986112ce9a7066ef02fab7cd1dbcea2619b713
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,222
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,583
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,222 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8dc1…100ebacked Yes | 23c | 939.45$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.04 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…fe5bbacked Yes | 23c | 873.85$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.91 | 310 | 43.2%134 W · 176 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 80c | 842.91$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.41 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…947bbacked Yes | 17c | 657.01$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.48 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +17.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc440…6149backed Yes | 10c | 655$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.89 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 8c | 562.3$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.91 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…b9edbacked Yes | 21c | 531.37$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.23 | 421 | 30.4%128 W · 293 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 23c | 472.51$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.98 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x425d…6cb0backed Yes | 6c | 462.48$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 253 | 44.7%113 W · 140 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8103…23a1backed Yes | 15c | 451.67$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 576 | 14.9%86 W · 490 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 7c | 430.93$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.44 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…a526backed Yes | 24c | 415.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 154 | 66.9%103 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52ef…1310backed Yes | 17c | 388.06$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.45 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 12c | 365.72$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.94 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 80c | 307.91$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.95 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7331…bc39backed Yes | 7c | 296$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 94 | 25.5%24 W · 70 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4495…1316backed Yes | 13c | 272.64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed Yes | 17c | 251.98$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.83 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 10c | 241.55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.44 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9acf…0cc2backed Yes | 6c | 241.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 229 | 45.4%104 W · 125 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1add…a268backed Yes | 25c | 217.51$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.82 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed No | 76c | 198.36$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.36 | 896 | 61.7%553 W · 343 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14da…0af1backed Yes | 26c | 195.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.18 | 119 | 26.1%31 W · 88 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 24c | 192.79$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.27 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2b…c3cbbacked Yes | 16c | 186.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 142 | 22.5%32 W · 110 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 6c | 185.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 13c | 183.32$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.97 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 17c | 180.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.87 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6392…ab32backed Yes | 7c | 176.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4179…cceebacked No | 76c | 158$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.39 | 429 | 76.5%328 W · 101 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 75c | 139$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.34 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c52…1411backed Yes | 27c | 136.84$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.31 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 76c | 132.76$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.67 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf132…c706backed Yes | 20c | 130.48$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.71 | 308 | 13.6%42 W · 266 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 18c | 130.34$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.37 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75c1…22e4backed Yes | 21c | 130$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0754…a576backed Yes | 16c | 126.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.17 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x342c…de11backed Yes | 22c | 126$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.56 | 172 | 41.9%72 W · 100 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8edc…80d8backed No | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1,179 | 56.4%665 W · 514 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a57…231cbacked Yes | 15c | 123.13$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.01 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 77c | 118$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.72 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfca…645abacked Yes | 24c | 115.28$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.29 | 140 | 25.7%36 W · 104 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60d8…f2a6backed Yes | 19c | 105.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 378 | 35.4%134 W · 244 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2b…2030backed No | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…704cbacked Yes | 14c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 321 | 32.7%105 W · 216 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1,082 | 65.6%710 W · 372 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 25c | 99.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc293…c389backed No | 73c | 99.99$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 38 | 86.8%33 W · 5 L | +6.3wins | +0.17per pick | 70cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbf53…1720backed Yes | 16c | 99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 77c | 96$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.32 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9686…1701backed Yes | 12c | 89.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 351 | 33.6%118 W · 233 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 21c | 87.18$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 76c | 86.35$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x306e…3a7cbacked No | 74c | 84.5$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a56…be30backed Yes | 14c | 83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 464 | 52.2%242 W · 222 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02b7…cab7backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaac3…6ea4backed Yes | 26c | 74.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…0c07backed Yes | 23c | 71.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.54 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +94.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbad0…a6e2backed Yes | 22c | 66.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 78c | 66.55$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 999 | 63.5%634 W · 365 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7187…f08bbacked Yes | 26c | 64.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 80c | 60.85$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.17 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked Yes | 24c | 55.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 1,359 | 30.2%411 W · 948 L | -92.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0a…8f66backed No | 74c | 55$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef40…b116backed Yes | 23c | 55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 149 | 26.2%39 W · 110 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…2c6bbacked Yes | 23c | 53.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 188 | 14.4%27 W · 161 L | -14.7wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 75c | 51$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fdf…28a2backed Yes | 20c | 50.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 561 | 31.7%178 W · 383 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…de8abacked Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 166 | 26.5%44 W · 122 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x261e…c09fbacked No | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 118 | 35.6%42 W · 76 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec7c…7ad4backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 190 | 37.4%71 W · 119 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcce…65afbacked No | 79c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 277 | 71.5%198 W · 79 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed Yes | 23c | 49.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 643 | 33.4%215 W · 428 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x180e…29dfbacked No | 73c | 49.81$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.43 | 508 | 60.4%307 W · 201 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x194b…e572backed No | 76c | 47.3$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.36 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17d2…27cdbacked Yes | 24c | 41.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbce1…77dbbacked Yes | 26c | 41.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d7…0ff9backed No | 78c | 39.31$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.59 | 382 | 58.9%225 W · 157 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34c6…be53backed Yes | 27c | 38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7231…5afebacked No | 74c | 35.45$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 96 | 34.4%33 W · 63 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3e…5337backed No | 75c | 32.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 818 | 48.5%397 W · 421 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc69a…4d6bbacked No | 73c | 32.69$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.83 | 168 | 63.1%106 W · 62 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.15 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 76c | 29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5d…9491backed No | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 308 | 59.1%182 W · 126 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.69 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba6e…e245backed No | 78c | 23.32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.13 | 86 | 76.7%66 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 73cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3329…6c52backed No | 77c | 20.23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.69 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4184…c863backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 899 | 51.6%464 W · 435 L | -40.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79b6…e042backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 445 | 53.3%237 W · 208 L | -21.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7a1…a85ebacked No | 79c | 19.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 54 | 68.5%37 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a17…c24fbacked No | 75c | 17.27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.27 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed No | 72c | 16.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.51 | 503 | 73.2%368 W · 135 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x737d…d0febacked No | 74c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6012…900fbacked No | 77c | 14.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.26 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeaf…9ce1backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on May 9?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on May 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on May 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on May 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on May 9?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on May 9?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.