Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on May 9?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe58e721cf1d4bc648220101e23a6ba553d53ec5fcdab2e24058cea2b15814e71
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,747
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,255
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,747 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9999…0654backed Yes | 1c | 1,154$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -34%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8103…23a1backed Yes | 8c | 731.39$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.88 | 576 | 14.9%86 W · 490 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7331…bc39backed Yes | 9c | 599.35$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.09 | 94 | 25.5%24 W · 70 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 79c | 462.02$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.21 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7231…5afebacked Yes | 10c | 456.93$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.55 | 96 | 34.4%33 W · 63 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe7f…7428backed Yes | 21c | 430.79$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.4 | 81 | 23.5%19 W · 62 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a04…c853backed No | 79c | 404.32$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.02 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…947bbacked Yes | 12c | 299.96$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.98 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +17.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb07…d516backed Yes | 12c | 277.15$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…e01dbacked Yes | 14c | 264.71$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.82 | 1,032 | 24.3%251 W · 781 L | +40.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef22…441dbacked Yes | 12c | 256.66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 100 | 53%53 W · 47 L | +20.3wins | +0.20per pick | 33cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x6012…900fbacked Yes | 20c | 247.35$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f2…96d7backed Yes | 20c | 231.19$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.99 | 244 | 66.8%163 W · 81 L | +20.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea2…665abacked Yes | 16c | 224.83$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.2 | 394 | 27.4%108 W · 286 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52ef…1310backed Yes | 21c | 222.3$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 17c | 212.12$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.18 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 23c | 201.15$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.96 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 11c | 198.08$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 76c | 194.27$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 999 | 63.5%634 W · 365 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 19c | 187.36$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.25 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9c…e014backed Yes | 22c | 174.15$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.05 | 258 | 39.9%103 W · 155 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14da…0af1backed Yes | 25c | 168.93$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.21 | 119 | 26.1%31 W · 88 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe7…1ea9backed No | 78c | 167.16$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.29 | 155 | 70.3%109 W · 46 L | +23.6wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbad0…a6e2backed Yes | 9c | 166.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed Yes | 10c | 156.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 31c | 155.94$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.92 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…b9edbacked Yes | 28c | 148.37$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.03 | 421 | 30.4%128 W · 293 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4179…cceebacked No | 77c | 129.81$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.82 | 429 | 76.5%328 W · 101 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9321backed No | 77c | 128.13$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.74 | 1,299 | 57.5%747 W · 552 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…8cc4backed Yes | 11c | 126.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 274 | 21.9%60 W · 214 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…5624backed Yes | 22c | 113.28$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.11 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 15c | 110.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6a57…231cbacked Yes | 28c | 106.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b31…852cbacked Yes | 15c | 104.38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.07 | 257 | 42.4%109 W · 148 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe99…9ca7backed Yes | 24c | 104.16$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.82 | 669 | 26.2%175 W · 494 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…0c07backed Yes | 16c | 102.9$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +94.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdfca…645abacked Yes | 20c | 100.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.81 | 140 | 25.7%36 W · 104 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x306e…3a7cbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…e0dabacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,861 | 23.8%443 W · 1,418 L | +47.9wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbad1…8151backed Yes | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf53…1720backed Yes | 24c | 98.88$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.17 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 79c | 95.87$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x080e…da87backed Yes | 25c | 95.67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 185 | 34.6%64 W · 121 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…dbc0backed No | 79c | 94.71$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.31 | 167 | 64.1%107 W · 60 L | -13.7wins | -0.08per pick | 72cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57ce…d8e2backed Yes | 14c | 93.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…de8abacked Yes | 16c | 90.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 166 | 26.5%44 W · 122 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3329…6c52backed Yes | 22c | 89.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a28…d58bbacked Yes | 23c | 88.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bea…c1f5backed Yes | 23c | 88.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 94 | 25.5%24 W · 70 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…b2b8backed Yes | 22c | 85.51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 154 | 54.5%84 W · 70 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…c19ebacked Yes | 25c | 80.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 612 | 49.5%303 W · 309 L | +30.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeba1…44dfbacked Yes | 26c | 80$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.71 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd6…092abacked No | 77c | 78.27$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.27 | 247 | 36%89 W · 158 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8a…ad94backed Yes | 26c | 76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 331 | 39.6%131 W · 200 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…fe5bbacked Yes | 25c | 75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 310 | 43.2%134 W · 176 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed No | 67c | 73.72$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.24 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a87…a55abacked Yes | 24c | 72.23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 1,112 | 35.1%390 W · 722 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63bd…3480backed Yes | 24c | 71.37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.39per pick | 21cpaid | +192.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 77c | 69.44$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.97 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 25c | 67.29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 29c | 66.23$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f6…85e9backed No | 77c | 65.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.1 | 80 | 67.5%54 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…0e20backed Yes | 24c | 55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 914 | 44.7%409 W · 505 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14a9…4b39backed No | 80c | 52.59$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.59 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6659…b7cabacked Yes | 20c | 52.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 938 | 37.6%353 W · 585 L | -14.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcde6…040fbacked Yes | 21c | 52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8947…4635backed No | 77c | 51.81$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.01 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +6.1wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf794…aba2backed Yes | 22c | 50.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcca3…7450backed Yes | 21c | 50.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 426 | 43.2%184 W · 242 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 76c | 50.03$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbad3…7715backed Yes | 23c | 49.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68e…a093backed Yes | 27c | 48.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 95 | 30.5%29 W · 66 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed7b…7b92backed No | 69c | 48.02$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.89 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd09a…a603backed Yes | 23c | 47.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 114 | 36.8%42 W · 72 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e4…b4dabacked No | 75c | 47.68$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 45 | 71.1%32 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 65c | 46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c52…1411backed Yes | 30c | 45.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74ac…2c3ebacked Yes | 28c | 42.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b53…b786backed Yes | 25c | 40.08$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed Yes | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 643 | 33.4%215 W · 428 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaaa…da37backed No | 77c | 37.29$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 446 | 59%263 W · 183 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff74…5de4backed Yes | 28c | 36.71$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 659 | 34.1%225 W · 434 L | +36.6wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75b0…e7b7backed No | 70c | 35.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 1,585 | 78.5%1,244 W · 341 L | +39.7wins | +0.03per pick | 76cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x194b…e572backed No | 75c | 33.8$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5576…59e9backed Yes | 34c | 32.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 170 | 33.5%57 W · 113 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc67f…5115backed Yes | 35c | 32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 108 | 50%54 W · 54 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8215…1279backed No | 68c | 32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.24 | 387 | 58.7%227 W · 160 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 70c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb7…91c4backed No | 79c | 26.88$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.73 | 45 | 71.1%32 W · 13 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 78c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c9e…8d54backed No | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 276 | 69.2%191 W · 85 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 77c | 24.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16d9…f0b0backed No | 78c | 24.93$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 286 | 48.3%138 W · 148 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…253abacked No | 78c | 23.13$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.16 | 151 | 52.3%79 W · 72 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…27cbbacked No | 78c | 22.28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 975 | 70.6%688 W · 287 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 79c | 20.86$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4184…c863backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 899 | 51.6%464 W · 435 L | -40.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…a7e3backed No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 1,299 | 54.1%703 W · 596 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 73c | 19.74$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.33 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…fe29backed No | 74c | 17.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 521 | 55.3%288 W · 233 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on May 9?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on May 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on May 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on May 9?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on May 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on May 9?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.