Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 6?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x76984b79ab0fc16644c9e112bc5f0d82fc54352e63af92de91c7bb6d5f698bf0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,523
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,270
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,523 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 196 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7231…5afebacked Yes | 71c | 1,048$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.14 | 96 | 34.4%33 W · 63 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4230…152ebacked No | 57c | 530.54$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…e878backed No | 66c | 511.96$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.35 | 237 | 43%102 W · 135 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 45c | 465.55$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.33 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 46c | 406$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.96 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed No | 38c | 399.94$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.48 | 61 | 14.8%9 W · 52 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -72%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0813…017ebacked Yes | 44c | 364.16$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.16 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8103…23a1backed Yes | 63c | 339.21$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.2 | 576 | 14.9%86 W · 490 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked No | 7c | 328.11$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.06 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -88.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 40c | 313.49$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.96 | 633 | 23.9%151 W · 482 L | -20.0wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -45%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 34c | 307.3$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.22 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 49c | 287.61$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.81 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ef…1310backed Yes | 37c | 269.98$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.07 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 42c | 260.91$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.29 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 43c | 258$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.28 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17f0…20febacked No | 5c | 244.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 151 | 6.6%10 W · 141 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 75c | 231.79$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.06 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 29c | 230.77$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.87 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c92…3cd0backed Yes | 46c | 221.81$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.81 | 171 | 35.1%60 W · 111 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa498…727bbacked Yes | 28c | 220.24$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.4 | 97 | 28.9%28 W · 69 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75c1…22e4backed Yes | 41c | 217.17$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.17 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 41c | 200$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f74…8774backed Yes | 27c | 186.23$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.95 | 212 | 36.8%78 W · 134 L | +14.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x802d…e5babacked No | 55c | 181.63$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.55 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed No | 73c | 178.3$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 896 | 61.7%553 W · 343 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 48c | 175.02$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.13 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84b9…7f7fbacked Yes | 55c | 168.1$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.53 | 357 | 42.9%153 W · 204 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 65c | 166.39$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.84 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c6…2ff3backed Yes | 30c | 159.84$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.29 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 17cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 29c | 155.67$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.17 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 67c | 154.06$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.84 | 999 | 63.5%634 W · 365 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 68c | 153.41$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.08 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 38c | 150.21$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.8 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9321backed No | 45c | 144.56$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.66 | 1,299 | 57.5%747 W · 552 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 40c | 142.91$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.94 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x923f…6c4abacked No | 37c | 135.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 34c | 128$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…43a8backed Yes | 35c | 119.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.54 | 245 | 39.6%97 W · 148 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a26…c335backed Yes | 29c | 116.13$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.88 | 862 | 26.8%231 W · 631 L | +28.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c48…6b72backed Yes | 29c | 115.42$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.22 | 452 | 38.5%174 W · 278 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 61c | 113.46$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.87 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcaaa…da37backed No | 48c | 113.27$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.56 | 446 | 59%263 W · 183 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 31c | 110.35$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.72 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fc2…0018backed Yes | 47c | 108.31$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.31 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 69c | 108.15$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.04 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed No | 74c | 106.08$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.97 | 260 | 67.3%175 W · 85 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x080e…da87backed Yes | 38c | 106.03$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.03 | 185 | 34.6%64 W · 121 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 32c | 105.88$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.59 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15d0…1284backed No | 66c | 105.29$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.2 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -5.4wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x57ef…4b15backed Yes | 30c | 104.25$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.25 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e18…b3ecbacked Yes | 49c | 101.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.91 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +6.5wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x415e…8f12backed Yes | 68c | 100.05$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.94 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x306e…3a7cbacked Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e21…dbe4backed Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.34 | 81 | 27.2%22 W · 59 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbad1…8151backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d0…b168backed No | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea2…665abacked Yes | 47c | 99.63$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.42 | 394 | 27.4%108 W · 286 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3636…1a57backed Yes | 36c | 98$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.13 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e5…b209backed No | 36c | 93.77$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.11 | 55 | 21.8%12 W · 43 L | -12.8wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…d760backed Yes | 40c | 89.75$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.49 | 1,010 | 40.3%407 W · 603 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 24c | 81.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…a7e3backed No | 22c | 80$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 1,299 | 54.1%703 W · 596 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5964…35dfbacked No | 32c | 80$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 1,279 | 33.6%430 W · 849 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ad…d00bbacked Yes | 29c | 77.33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.9 | 490 | 38.8%190 W · 300 L | +24.4wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x167e…0f16backed No | 59c | 75.61$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.54 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5278…5306backed Yes | 60c | 75.17$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 149 | 41.6%62 W · 87 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94ce…edf2backed Yes | 67c | 75.01$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.01 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a28…d58bbacked Yes | 41c | 73.81$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.81 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 65c | 72.01$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.09 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…ca1bbacked No | 25c | 70$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 1,274 | 34%433 W · 841 L | +46.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a87…a55abacked Yes | 39c | 69.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.69 | 1,112 | 35.1%390 W · 722 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a92…35bcbacked Yes | 38c | 69.01$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.76 | 449 | 45.9%206 W · 243 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2b…c3cbbacked Yes | 37c | 68.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.31 | 142 | 22.5%32 W · 110 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4560…8ce8backed No | 59c | 67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.53 | 350 | 58.3%204 W · 146 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4b…ac6bbacked No | 53c | 66.85$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.45 | 358 | 54.7%196 W · 162 L | -13.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab9…8ba6backed Yes | 66c | 65$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 304 | 42.8%130 W · 174 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe75f…17c0backed Yes | 32c | 63.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.32 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd78c…a66ebacked No | 71c | 62.49$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.32 | 728 | 37.8%275 W · 453 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdff4…ba52backed Yes | 40c | 62.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53bc…be7cbacked No | 72c | 61.45$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.24 | 627 | 70.5%442 W · 185 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed Yes | 22c | 60.1$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.73 | 643 | 33.4%215 W · 428 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 59c | 60$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.26 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 60c | 59$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.35 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a43…26babacked No | 41c | 58.87$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.02 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced2…0d6bbacked No | 50c | 58.87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 156 | 69.2%108 W · 48 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6659…b7cabacked Yes | 30c | 58.87$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.24 | 938 | 37.6%353 W · 585 L | -14.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b50…c9babacked Yes | 55c | 58.59$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.37 | 451 | 48.6%219 W · 232 L | +21.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed5c…8cf8backed Yes | 35c | 58.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.03 | 259 | 35.1%91 W · 168 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 29c | 58.48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.62 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa99b…1211backed No | 54c | 57.38$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.94 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x213d…6224backed No | 61c | 55.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…0c07backed Yes | 49c | 55.2$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.28 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +94.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 43c | 55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0754…a576backed Yes | 42c | 55$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.9 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed No | 59c | 54.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.44 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6962…0629backed Yes | 39c | 53.31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.51 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0857…dc72backed Yes | 53c | 53.06$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.06 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbad3…7715backed Yes | 36c | 52.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.36 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 49c | 51.2$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.11 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb684…343cbacked No | 59c | 50.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.05 | 169 | 68%115 W · 54 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 6?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on May 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on May 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on May 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on May 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C or higher on May 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C or below on May 6?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.