Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 6?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f6c860d03899848e059fe20a16764a0813a977e674ca68848f4838fcb49880a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $106,536
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $115,283
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,536 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfcf2…7279backed Yes | 1c | 24,455$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.47 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked Yes | 0c | 10,226$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.62 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -88.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdafd…2ad4backed Yes | 7c | 2,488$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.8 | 122 | 28.7%35 W · 87 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8103…23a1backed Yes | 10c | 2,353$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.52 | 576 | 14.9%86 W · 490 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae2e…40adbacked Yes | 6c | 2,152$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.2 | 295 | 20.7%61 W · 234 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9c…e014backed Yes | 2c | 1,765$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 258 | 39.9%103 W · 155 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…0c07backed Yes | 5c | 1,440$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.82 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +94.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x579d…247cbacked Yes | 5c | 1,438$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.51 | 77 | 29.9%23 W · 54 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 71c | 991.54$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.9 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…947bbacked No | 78c | 749.4$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.38 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +17.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7231…5afebacked Yes | 12c | 587.4$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.86 | 96 | 34.4%33 W · 63 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef22…441dbacked Yes | 23c | 519.36$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.63 | 100 | 53%53 W · 47 L | +20.3wins | +0.20per pick | 33cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed Yes | 13c | 469.65$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.86 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 13c | 434.11$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.11 | 633 | 23.9%151 W · 482 L | -20.0wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -45%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 75c | 423.24$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.71 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09e7…1fffbacked Yes | 10c | 415.53$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.08 | 94 | 39.4%37 W · 57 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea2…665abacked Yes | 9c | 395.05$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.67 | 394 | 27.4%108 W · 286 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…b9edbacked Yes | 12c | 393$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.46 | 421 | 30.4%128 W · 293 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 12c | 387.64$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.99 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c6…2ff3backed Yes | 26c | 378.78$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.89 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 17cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…e01dbacked Yes | 10c | 365$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 1,032 | 24.3%251 W · 781 L | +40.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7492…ba55backed Yes | 27c | 340$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.28 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 14c | 319.65$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.94 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 80c | 312.46$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.03 | 1,554 | 33.1%515 W · 1,039 L | -66.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4495…1316backed Yes | 9c | 301.34$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.87 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Yes | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 191 | 23%44 W · 147 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57ce…d8e2backed Yes | 21c | 280.02$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52ef…1310backed Yes | 18c | 279.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd92f…acacbacked Yes | 6c | 251.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 57 | 14%8 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -36%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc944…1686backed Yes | 5c | 245.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 345 | 33%114 W · 231 L | +20.6wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa054…a95dbacked Yes | 22c | 226.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.06 | 399 | 66.2%264 W · 135 L | +33.6wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed Yes | 6c | 224.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b31…852cbacked Yes | 23c | 224.52$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.52 | 257 | 42.4%109 W · 148 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf225…42e0backed No | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed46…7f01backed Yes | 14c | 198$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd40f…8244backed Yes | 50c | 195.56$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.58 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 17c | 195.06$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.22 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b2b…4e2fbacked Yes | 46c | 193$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.01 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87c6…58f9backed Yes | 6c | 190.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 110 | 19.1%21 W · 89 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c52…1411backed Yes | 8c | 182.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 74c | 180.34$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.61 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe978…ab29backed Yes | 17c | 175.79$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.15 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6af…4219backed Yes | 14c | 174.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 506 | 48.8%247 W · 259 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…2fd6backed Yes | 14c | 166.66$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 98 | 32.7%32 W · 66 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84b9…7f7fbacked Yes | 29c | 164$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.86 | 357 | 42.9%153 W · 204 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f19…e819backed Yes | 19c | 163.51$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.14 | 529 | 35.7%189 W · 340 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed Yes | 37c | 163.31$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.74 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked Yes | 8c | 160.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed No | 58c | 150$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 61 | 14.8%9 W · 52 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -72%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 8c | 149.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…17a9backed Yes | 10c | 148$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 165 | 30.9%51 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebec…1322backed Yes | 14c | 146.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…932abacked Yes | 10c | 146.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe013…764fbacked Yes | 12c | 139.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf908…6718backed Yes | 11c | 136.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5608…c0dbbacked No | 74c | 136$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.12 | 191 | 60.7%116 W · 75 L | +11.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5cf…9c8cbacked Yes | 8c | 134.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 18c | 128.55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.54 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…8262backed Yes | 12c | 121.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 379 | 42.2%160 W · 219 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5576…59e9backed Yes | 11c | 121.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 170 | 33.5%57 W · 113 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f46…77e8backed Yes | 9c | 119$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 126 | 25.4%32 W · 94 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed No | 63c | 118.77$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.61 | 999 | 61.8%617 W · 382 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc4…35e3backed Yes | 30c | 115.92$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.73 | 114 | 38.6%44 W · 70 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb34f…c66bbacked Yes | 28c | 113.3$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0857…dc72backed Yes | 32c | 111.84$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ea…8ed1backed Yes | 36c | 110$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.1 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3271…cd33backed Yes | 21c | 105$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.41 | 135 | 31.1%42 W · 93 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…eb02backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 348 | 46.6%162 W · 186 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x415e…8f12backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.84 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe45e…717ebacked Yes | 32c | 98.97$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.09 | 64 | 71.9%46 W · 18 L | +10.8wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e5…b209backed Yes | 41c | 92.68$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.26 | 55 | 21.8%12 W · 43 L | -12.8wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xf5da…27b7backed Yes | 16c | 91.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb732…6900backed No | 69c | 89.66$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.75 | 412 | 58.3%240 W · 172 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e18…b3ecbacked Yes | 46c | 87.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +6.5wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9acf…0cc2backed No | 63c | 85$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.46 | 229 | 45.4%104 W · 125 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x997e…7e58backed No | 79c | 80.63$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.7 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77e6…0ae1backed Yes | 48c | 75$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c29…b975backed Yes | 34c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.69 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +91%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…a7e3backed No | 79c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 1,299 | 54.1%703 W · 596 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 68c | 55.83$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.76 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1de…aadfbacked Yes | 35c | 55.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 63 | 76.2%48 W · 15 L | +7.8wins | +0.12per pick | 64cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x52d7…0ff9backed No | 79c | 53.4$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.24 | 382 | 58.9%225 W · 157 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x804d…cf86backed Yes | 25c | 51.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ed…9d98backed Yes | 39c | 51.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 822 | 68.7%565 W · 257 L | +72.3wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8d1e…9d49backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b2…7c84backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 110 | 38.2%42 W · 68 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 65c | 47.4$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.81 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2e27…9967backed No | 70c | 46.88$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.27 | 137 | 65.7%90 W · 47 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x498f…a891backed Yes | 42c | 45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 71cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 69c | 45$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.02 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f3…6f32backed Yes | 40c | 42.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d2e…f022backed Yes | 49c | 41.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 180 | 33.9%61 W · 119 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa517…86c8backed No | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.9 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a43…26babacked Yes | 35c | 35.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8947…4635backed Yes | 46c | 30.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +6.1wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x318c…b4c8backed No | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.92 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 70cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x754b…d06abacked No | 80c | 27.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 212 | 72.6%154 W · 58 L | +22.8wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…fe29backed No | 62c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.45 | 521 | 55.3%288 W · 233 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 6?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on May 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on May 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 6?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on May 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on May 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C or higher on May 6?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C or below on May 6?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.