Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Sentinels (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b67746a6ab29bd4cced9dea76143fa5628e73d811912e843ec25d792c630708
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sentinelsof G2 Esports, Sentinels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,833
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,309
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,833 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x40e3…5627backed Sentinels | 62c | 1,401$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.8 | 196 | 56.6%111 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc581…0f24backed G2 Esports | 35c | 1,257$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.12 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Sentinels | 65c | 955$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.25 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Sentinels | 67c | 800$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 141 | 58.2%82 W · 59 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Sentinels | 61c | 751.07$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.83 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91a2…e415backed G2 Esports | 35c | 548.41$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.25 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa371…eaa5backed G2 Esports | 38c | 533.63$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x253e…84e4backed G2 Esports | 37c | 520$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.4 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39c9…7debbacked G2 Esports | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked G2 Esports | 39c | 511.03$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.3 | 287 | 47.4%136 W · 151 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…3ca3backed G2 Esports | 40c | 507.67$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.81 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Sentinels | 62c | 499.99$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.89 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab93…8479backed G2 Esports | 41c | 488.89$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…7cc5backed Sentinels | 63c | 398.07$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.07 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4281…1a5abacked Sentinels | 60c | 391.43$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.42 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Sentinels | 60c | 333.13$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.13 | 179 | 48.6%87 W · 92 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Sentinels | 61c | 308$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.12 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x009c…049bbacked G2 Esports | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42cd…2359backed G2 Esports | 40c | 251.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75c1…22e4backed G2 Esports | 40c | 221$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.69 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -8.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed G2 Esports | 34c | 220.46$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.96 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…f7dbbacked Sentinels | 66c | 160$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.4 | 162 | 41.4%67 W · 95 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Sentinels | 59c | 126.38$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.86 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98ba…4212backed G2 Esports | 40c | 125.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…6d74backed G2 Esports | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 255 | 55.7%142 W · 113 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Sentinels | 60c | 98.17$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.26 | 282 | 52.5%148 W · 134 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Sentinels | 57c | 94.17$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.49 | 344 | 43.3%149 W · 195 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf15e…80b5backed G2 Esports | 33c | 78$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.74 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked G2 Esports | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 168 | 39.3%66 W · 102 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea9…9248backed Sentinels | 64c | 50.12$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.12 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Sentinels | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 565 | 51.2%289 W · 276 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda54…63d4backed G2 Esports | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed G2 Esports | 38c | 36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f3…b3eebacked Sentinels | 62c | 35.48$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Sentinels | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 492 | 55.3%272 W · 220 L | +23.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Sentinels (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Valorant: G2 Esports vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group OmegaG2 Esports won
- Valorant: G2 Esports vs Sentinels - Map 1 WinnerSentinels won
- Valorant: G2 Esports vs Sentinels - Map 2 WinnerG2 Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.