TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
LOUDof LOUD, LOS
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$157,785
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$186,104

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $157,785 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 166 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcf60…a6f5backed LOUD54c53,559$28,954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,605.7591854%496 W · 422 L-1.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked LOS50c33,948$16,974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,974.0990348.4%437 W · 466 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33d3…bf38backed LOS28c10,167$2,841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,841.337758.4%45 W · 32 L+8.0wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+10%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9cd1…285dbacked LOS29c7,005$2,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,008.589750.5%49 W · 48 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe881…19abbacked LOS1c3,500$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354314.9%21 W · 410 L-1.8wins0.00per pick5cpaid-86.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x048f…9992backed LOS1c3,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305920%0 W · 592 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed LOUD50c2,378$1,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,196.3986943.2%375 W · 494 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee5…e798backed LOS46c2,302$1,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,059.1426635%93 W · 173 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked LOS1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040916.1%66 W · 343 L-0.8wins0.00per pick16cpaid+23.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a05…cd14backed LOS1c1,800$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18583.4%2 W · 56 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick1cpaid+89.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f03…b1bebacked LOS56c1,733$971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$970.71,13252.5%594 W · 538 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee8b…dcd9backed LOS62c1,640$1,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,023.391560%9 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed LOUD76c1,635$1,241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.73,11933.7%1,052 W · 2,067 L-151.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x21ed…1ea1backed LOS50c1,542$771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7715639.3%22 W · 34 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed LOS1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152181.8%4 W · 214 L+0.7wins0.00per pick2cpaid+37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60ee…45cebacked LOS12c1,500$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1858840.9%36 W · 52 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfad…fa05backed LOS53c1,313$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7001,21858.1%708 W · 510 L+44.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x06c0…e618backed LOS58c1,213$704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703.5327957.7%161 W · 118 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a86…cc01backed LOS34c1,212$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.0817439.7%69 W · 105 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+0.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4283…fbd4backed LOS32c1,176$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.245041.1%185 W · 265 L-25.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf876…1deebacked LOUD43c1,151$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650.577451.4%38 W · 36 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bf6…2d98backed LOS31c931.87$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.363033.3%10 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x15ec…267dbacked LOS44c849.97$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.012839.3%11 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked LOS50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40090337.5%339 W · 564 L-18.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc387…5a97backed LOUD60c779.73$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.7660354.7%330 W · 273 L-2.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5809…9868backed LOS22c767.29$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.9197427.8%271 W · 703 L-23.1wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7d3…698bbacked LOS31c735.79$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.3525256.3%142 W · 110 L+14.2wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed LOS48c729.17$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35016048.1%77 W · 83 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7547…1a38backed LOS53c726.72$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.259742.3%41 W · 56 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked LOUD61c714.62$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.441,15842.6%493 W · 665 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked LOS40c704.4$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.162,67235.7%954 W · 1,718 L-153.3wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-32.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc1d9…5333backed LOUD59c677.95$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.9658259.5%346 W · 236 L+27.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed LOS34c629.41$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.041,79251.1%916 W · 876 L+50.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed LOUD60c618.2$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.5227353.1%145 W · 128 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed LOS57c616.1$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.1824543.3%106 W · 139 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b04…f792backed LOUD61c577.25$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.2539266.6%261 W · 131 L+12.7wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1926…83ccbacked LOUD64c561.1$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.13551.4%18 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x753b…5484backed LOUD53c556.06$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.354461.4%27 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick57cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c2b…1388backed LOS18c555.36$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.3614546.2%67 W · 78 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1be…6471backed LOUD44c542.91$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.116947.8%33 W · 36 L-5.5wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-11.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeebb…0b96backed LOUD43c532.03$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.7328035%98 W · 182 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed LOUD41c522$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.942,22237.4%832 W · 1,390 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7900…3393backed LOS33c515$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.315656.4%88 W · 68 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62c6…ab7bbacked LOUD47c512.72$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.2183460.8%507 W · 327 L+44.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa485…a7d5backed LOS33c500$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16325345.8%116 W · 137 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked LOUD69c482.42$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.5582161%501 W · 320 L+1.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ae1…befbbacked LOUD42c450.24$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.0466843%287 W · 381 L-29.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbafa…02e0backed LOUD45c444.44$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.4479650.6%403 W · 393 L+47.2wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+7.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed LOS57c439.45$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.492,15253.3%1,147 W · 1,005 L+58.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked LOS37c416.32$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.2487844.2%388 W · 490 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0da…749bbacked LOS16c381.62$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.1867115.4%103 W · 568 L-28.9wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-57.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed LOUD42c381.4$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.2154429.6%161 W · 383 L-35.2wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-18.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb5ba…06b3backed LOS44c364.27$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16028638.1%109 W · 177 L-14.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-18.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked LOUD62c355.5$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.3235341.9%148 W · 205 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc397…bb3bbacked LOUD60c333.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.331,66059.5%987 W · 673 L+97.4wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x75c7…909dbacked LOS46c323.23$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504247.6%20 W · 22 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed LOUD48c305.17$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.916238.9%63 W · 99 L+0.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f09…f339backed LOUD54c300$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa487…9439backed LOUD42c256.52$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.7811538.3%44 W · 71 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x969f…cbdcbacked LOUD60c254.65$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.718046.1%83 W · 97 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ca0…38babacked LOUD40c251.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.251,44143.4%625 W · 816 L+105.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+20.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc9e7…c067backed LOS54c249.98$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.993357.6%19 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7329…bebdbacked LOS40c243.45$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.7543453.5%232 W · 202 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e34…4480backed LOS57c243$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.5141343.8%181 W · 232 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2eb9…8d05backed LOUD57c223.56$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.569736.1%35 W · 62 L-7.3wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2b8b…2ce5backed LOUD58c210.4$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.42770.4%19 W · 8 L+3.7wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+17.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2d21…92e5backed LOUD50c203.61$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.8169841.8%292 W · 406 L+46.3wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+10.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x75c1…22e4backed LOUD60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8017757.6%102 W · 75 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a1…d6ecbacked LOS57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11446650.9%237 W · 229 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc6f8…7fa1backed LOS50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10077246.2%357 W · 415 L+18.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbbb4…0060backed LOS57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11421647.2%102 W · 114 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0273…f081backed LOUD66c199.01$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.6633332.7%109 W · 224 L-15.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3f1…7535backed LOS32c198.61$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.2834137.8%129 W · 212 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc666…8d00backed LOS57c189.99$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.342251.7%218 W · 204 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed LOS35c188.66$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.371,60517.5%281 W · 1,324 L-244.2wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xa0a9…5862backed LOS51c182.35$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$932334.8%8 W · 15 L-4.3wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-39.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5ae8…e1b3backed LOUD67c178.68$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.687349.3%36 W · 37 L-7.1wins-0.10per pick59cpaid-21.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked LOUD60c178.65$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.751,91742.3%810 W · 1,107 L-44.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cb5…def4backed LOUD57c176.46$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.4611258.9%66 W · 46 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed LOUD57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4428652.8%151 W · 135 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed LOUD51c172.55$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.5520551.7%106 W · 99 L+1.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee7e…f7d7backed LOS18c163$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.346011.7%7 W · 53 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick14cpaid-35%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked LOS39c147.76$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.781,34931.1%420 W · 929 L-128.5wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-43.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf201…527ebacked LOUD54c143.33$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.431,29545.1%584 W · 711 L+49.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed LOUD59c134.81$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.8552543.8%230 W · 295 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc413…166ebacked LOS12c133.18$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3840%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked LOS32c129.54$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.8421231.1%66 W · 146 L-14.3wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-38.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked LOUD66c128.03$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.481,95230.6%597 W · 1,355 L-166.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-43.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed LOS25c126.84$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.2482836.4%301 W · 527 L-41.3wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf49a…8981backed LOUD59c117.45$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.852352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+16.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc869…bc8dbacked LOUD43c116.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.2827843.9%122 W · 156 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked LOUD65c109.87$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.421,05447.2%497 W · 557 L-4.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8aa…0ae3backed LOUD73c108$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2944470%311 W · 133 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf859…a183backed LOUD58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421,21352.3%635 W · 578 L+33.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd11d…5656backed LOUD42c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5850647.2%239 W · 267 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cd2…648cbacked LOUD58c99.99$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4294948.5%460 W · 489 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb941…b56bbacked LOS59c99.99$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5931646.5%147 W · 169 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked LOS48c97.68$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.981,30147.2%614 W · 687 L-32.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d83…272cbacked LOUD62c97.37$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.3759241.9%248 W · 344 L-16.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe27c…79e0backed LOS48c97.23$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.6939663.4%251 W · 145 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.