CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs M80 (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd764006ba9bd05a97ebdca2ee51f046c78d52984adcd9d9e49807c26e64e4a6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Legacyof Legacy, M80
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,239
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,393
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,239 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83b3…b3a2backed Legacy | 38c | 1,100$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.98 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9227…7cedbacked Legacy | 39c | 758.97$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.97 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked M80 | 62c | 677.42$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc16c…a3aabacked M80 | 66c | 652.16$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x449c…eaf5backed M80 | 61c | 597.54$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.5 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24c7…77c4backed M80 | 65c | 447.85$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.11 | 188 | 46.3%87 W · 101 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Legacy | 34c | 332.25$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.12 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66e5…d3c7backed Legacy | 66c | 301.72$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.72 | 233 | 54.9%128 W · 105 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…d5f4backed Legacy | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.71 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed M80 | 61c | 281.72$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.44 | 388 | 48.5%188 W · 200 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b4…2ce6backed Legacy | 39c | 223.45$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.45 | 297 | 57.6%171 W · 126 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed M80 | 62c | 164.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.75 | 183 | 52.5%96 W · 87 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4dd…4f27backed M80 | 61c | 164$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.04 | 509 | 47%239 W · 270 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfce…5c3ebacked M80 | 62c | 161.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.01 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Legacy | 37c | 131.54$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.95 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Legacy | 35c | 116.65$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.82 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd468…f6febacked Legacy | 49c | 102.93$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.93 | 460 | 42.8%197 W · 263 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Legacy | 38c | 74.69$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.31 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd775…e321backed M80 | 63c | 63.7$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…42f2backed Legacy | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 635 | 41.1%261 W · 374 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a37…4daebacked M80 | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 126 | 42.9%54 W · 72 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked M80 | 62c | 42.11$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.11 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c27…21a9backed M80 | 63c | 35.46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.34 | 231 | 58.4%135 W · 96 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed5b…8e60backed Legacy | 38c | 31.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.58 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…da67backed M80 | 64c | 31.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 387 | 54.8%212 W · 175 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2a…9ee3backed M80 | 62c | 30.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 216 | 50.9%110 W · 106 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed M80 | 62c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 500 | 56.6%283 W · 217 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Legacy | 36c | 29.16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.66 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…fb3dbacked M80 | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 354 | 66.1%234 W · 120 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed M80 | 62c | 20.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 400 | 50.8%203 W · 197 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ffd…08fabacked M80 | 62c | 20.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 254 | 57.5%146 W · 108 L | +11.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs M80 (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Legacy vs M80 (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group BLegacy won
- Counter-Strike: Legacy vs M80 - Map 1 WinnerLegacy won
- Counter-Strike: Legacy vs M80 - Map 2 WinnerLegacy won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.