CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ec605dc8f0d9338b2c9a0d86a615f690fbb7541e85195439c817d535061bb60
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,103
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,949
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,103 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa369…3ad6backed Under | 0c | 33,490$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.49 | 331 | 46.5%154 W · 177 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Over | 50c | 9,273$4,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,610.34 | 500 | 54.4%272 W · 228 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 50c | 5,633$2,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,815.81 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Under | 50c | 2,022$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.22 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 35c | 659.67$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.71 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 50c | 606.73$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.37 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 66c | 437.42$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.98 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Under | 48c | 417.41$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.47 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b7…1454backed Over | 49c | 404.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.71 | 147 | 43.5%64 W · 83 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 55c | 381.98$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.42 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Under | 43c | 350$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.5 | 256 | 34.4%88 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 51c | 302.97$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.49 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Over | 50c | 225.44$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.72 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 67c | 107$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.54 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Under | 62c | 104.84$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Over | 46c | 102$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.08 | 452 | 38.3%173 W · 279 L | -29.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b4…2ce6backed Over | 50c | 96$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 297 | 57.6%171 W · 126 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 45c | 90$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 29c | 47.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Over | 44c | 46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.96 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51d5…41b8backed Over | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -5.7wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -39%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba2…6b6cbacked Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 177 | 64.4%114 W · 63 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8912…1712backed Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 277 | 35.7%99 W · 178 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…6ac0backed Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 42c | 29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.82 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5fa…6758backed Over | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -7.2wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 45c | 26.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed5b…8e60backed Under | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 50c | 23.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed Over | 57c | 21.56$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 399 | 46.4%185 W · 214 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group BMIBR won
- Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 - Map 1 WinnerMIBR won
- Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 - Map 2 WinnerB8 won
- Map Handicap: B8 (-1.5) vs MIBR (+1.5)MIBR won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.