CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: B8 (-1.5) vs MIBR (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3fb7486fbe8453dc90ffb647c95045f6ce32156f573289784adf40db8865a501
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MIBRof B8, MIBR
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,163
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,022
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,163 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x89eb…cff9backed B8 | 36c | 838.72$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 364 | 50.3%183 W · 181 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2662…3f84backed MIBR | 72c | 698.28$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.28 | 209 | 58.9%123 W · 86 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed MIBR | 64c | 666.48$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.93 | 202 | 51%103 W · 99 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked B8 | 32c | 625$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 314 | 51.6%162 W · 152 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked MIBR | 68c | 625$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadf6…4eaabacked B8 | 31c | 380.57$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed B8 | 32c | 312.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.15 | 277 | 44.4%123 W · 154 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed MIBR | 69c | 254.65$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.65 | 212 | 63.7%135 W · 77 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…24c2backed MIBR | 68c | 220.59$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.59 | 333 | 54.4%181 W · 152 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed B8 | 33c | 197.58$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 613 | 38.2%234 W · 379 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked B8 | 30c | 185$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee4b…43dcbacked MIBR | 65c | 154$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.9 | 380 | 51.3%195 W · 185 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed MIBR | 72c | 139.17$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.17 | 485 | 62.7%304 W · 181 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed MIBR | 67c | 123.58$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.78 | 267 | 43.1%115 W · 152 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba08…21f1backed MIBR | 69c | 101.13$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.35 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8b…8925backed MIBR | 69c | 94.18$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 62cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9140…17e0backed MIBR | 69c | 93.85$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +81.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed8…6b7fbacked MIBR | 69c | 90.64$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed MIBR | 68c | 49.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 248 | 50.4%125 W · 123 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked MIBR | 70c | 42.68$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.68 | 446 | 75.3%336 W · 110 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed MIBR | 66c | 42$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 388 | 48.5%188 W · 200 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc304…c6bbbacked MIBR | 69c | 31.38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 104 | 49%51 W · 53 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1edb…a60bbacked MIBR | 72c | 31.16$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…5627backed MIBR | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 405 | 58.8%238 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22ba…4f18backed MIBR | 68c | 19.12$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6506…15c0backed MIBR | 71c | 18.45$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: B8 (-1.5) vs MIBR (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group BMIBR won
- Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 - Map 1 WinnerMIBR won
- Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 - Map 2 WinnerB8 won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.