CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb21708d332ef6e7e700561a56d860530f93347599c6b0c0ea7c9d7ad4ecd4892
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MIBRof MIBR, B8
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,877
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,719
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,877 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf070…ac55backed B8 | 53c | 9,023$4,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,826.7 | 333 | 43.8%146 W · 187 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4068…aeb1backed B8 | 31c | 3,734$1,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,145.1 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54c2…23adbacked MIBR | 51c | 3,218$1,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,584.12 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed MIBR | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…284ebacked B8 | 40c | 1,704$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685 | 209 | 35.4%74 W · 135 L | -21.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked MIBR | 62c | 1,648$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.53 | 3,259 | 50.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L | +98.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b5…c0aebacked MIBR | 46c | 1,461$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.91 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdff0…f573backed B8 | 54c | 1,457$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked MIBR | 64c | 1,011$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.68 | 3,236 | 51.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L | +88.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed MIBR | 64c | 1,005$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed MIBR | 46c | 991.87$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.61 | 878 | 47.9%421 W · 457 L | +16.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked B8 | 49c | 972$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.28 | 403 | 49.1%198 W · 205 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed B8 | 53c | 939.58$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | -11.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed MIBR | 65c | 905.05$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.76 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed MIBR | 67c | 755.48$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.73 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed MIBR | 79c | 547.76$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.79 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed B8 | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,041 | 39.9%415 W · 626 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed MIBR | 64c | 469.3$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.3 | 148 | 39.2%58 W · 90 L | -15.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9b…3de2backed MIBR | 47c | 425.76$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.65 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed MIBR | 46c | 422$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.88 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed MIBR | 48c | 367.13$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.91 | 2,645 | 51.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L | +21.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54ac…47e6backed MIBR | 68c | 332.58$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.07 | 681 | 72.2%492 W · 189 L | +120.9wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xe4dd…4f27backed B8 | 37c | 300$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.2 | 509 | 47%239 W · 270 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed B8 | 52c | 299.99$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.99 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked B8 | 49c | 296.86$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.61 | 558 | 43.5%243 W · 315 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed B8 | 40c | 275$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 616 | 38.1%235 W · 381 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked B8 | 33c | 256.8$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.56 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked B8 | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,263 | 46.9%592 W · 671 L | +18.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e9…5ef8backed B8 | 6c | 249.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 321 | 36.8%118 W · 203 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b25…93ccbacked MIBR | 63c | 222.24$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.23 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed MIBR | 48c | 220.28$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.65 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…e505backed MIBR | 50c | 200.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.16 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked B8 | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,605 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,234 L | +97.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe843…0699backed B8 | 32c | 193.98$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.71 | 101 | 33.7%34 W · 67 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked B8 | 36c | 173.4$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.9 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed MIBR | 50c | 140.57$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.57 | 372 | 32.5%121 W · 251 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed B8 | 22c | 137.68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.29 | 340 | 36.5%124 W · 216 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed B8 | 23c | 130.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,325 | 44.1%584 W · 741 L | +44.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed B8 | 40c | 125.38$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.73 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed MIBR | 75c | 118.97$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.74 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64f0…de5bbacked MIBR | 62c | 112.9$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed MIBR | 63c | 110$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.7 | 2,664 | 30.8%820 W · 1,844 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed MIBR | 46c | 108.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.84 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed B8 | 50c | 105.64$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.82 | 539 | 45.5%245 W · 294 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed MIBR | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.47 | 821 | 42.5%349 W · 472 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d46…b09bbacked MIBR | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa103…db38backed MIBR | 64c | 93.29$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.29 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcce1…49c7backed B8 | 54c | 83.52$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 351 | 47.9%168 W · 183 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed MIBR | 66c | 83$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.16 | 100 | 44%44 W · 56 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…2c42backed MIBR | 59c | 78$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.98 | 367 | 49.3%181 W · 186 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea8…0491backed MIBR | 46c | 71.82$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.8 | 167 | 41.9%70 W · 97 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6385…2afabacked B8 | 19c | 70$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 415 | 16.6%69 W · 346 L | -36.5wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1040…16cbbacked MIBR | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7be8…0f50backed MIBR | 48c | 62.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.49 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd468…f6febacked MIBR | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 461 | 42.7%197 W · 264 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed MIBR | 48c | 58.4$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.37 | 463 | 49.9%231 W · 232 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e51…71d4backed MIBR | 63c | 55.56$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.56 | 171 | 53.2%91 W · 80 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76d4…c512backed MIBR | 78c | 51.51$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.12 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -7.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0e45…39dabacked B8 | 29c | 50.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b3…4756backed B8 | 29c | 50.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 96 | 34.4%33 W · 63 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27cf…979abacked B8 | 29c | 50.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 117 | 40.2%47 W · 70 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x389d…995fbacked B8 | 29c | 50.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c2…a16ebacked MIBR | 73c | 47.95$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 485 | 66.2%321 W · 164 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2f…febcbacked MIBR | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd1…041bbacked B8 | 34c | 41.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed MIBR | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8220…b014backed MIBR | 48c | 37.72$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.72 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +5.5wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed B8 | 52c | 37.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 2,365 | 45.4%1,074 W · 1,291 L | -58.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab6…4880backed B8 | 54c | 36.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 593 | 54.8%325 W · 268 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked MIBR | 47c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.55 | 401 | 40.6%163 W · 238 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed MIBR | 57c | 33.72$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed MIBR | 65c | 32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.12 | 640 | 46.3%296 W · 344 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe99b…f212backed MIBR | 54c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf331…2489backed MIBR | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 213 | 53.1%113 W · 100 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed B8 | 52c | 26.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 2,030 | 53.7%1,091 W · 939 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed MIBR | 64c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked MIBR | 73c | 23.26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.28 | 382 | 59.7%228 W · 154 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe297…e484backed MIBR | 64c | 21.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 322 | 58.7%189 W · 133 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x651c…1084backed MIBR | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group BMIBR won
- Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 - Map 2 WinnerB8 won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: B8 (-1.5) vs MIBR (+1.5)MIBR won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.