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CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Lynn Vision (BO5) - Asian Champions League Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Lynn Visionof JiJieHao, Lynn Vision
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$66,535
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$77,357

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,535 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 164 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x29b5…cc6cbacked JiJieHao47c12,119$5,752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,751.775,13755%2,826 W · 2,311 L+119.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Lynn Vision53c7,072$3,758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,314.6560639.9%242 W · 364 L-14.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed JiJieHao48c5,321$2,575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,574.862,67451.9%1,388 W · 1,286 L+25.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Lynn Vision50c2,392$1,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,192.2113844.2%61 W · 77 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Lynn Vision53c1,800$954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845.991,04252.5%547 W · 495 L+29.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed JiJieHao35c1,623$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5626,52242.9%2,798 W · 3,724 L-80.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-22%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Lynn Vision64c1,517$973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.128,05850.3%4,055 W · 4,003 L+171.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed JiJieHao29c1,514$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.065,91137.7%2,228 W · 3,683 L+74.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24d2…92c5backed JiJieHao35c1,470$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.4712638.9%49 W · 77 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Lynn Vision61c1,444$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.215,65147.2%2,668 W · 2,983 L+46.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked Lynn Vision53c1,439$763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$676.527552%143 W · 132 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1513…831abacked JiJieHao38c1,326$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009347.3%44 W · 49 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked JiJieHao36c1,112$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.293,25651.2%1,667 W · 1,589 L+89.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6aa4…236cbacked JiJieHao41c1,092$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.523938.5%15 W · 24 L-5.4wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-32.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed JiJieHao48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48026354.8%144 W · 119 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa195…8c92backed Lynn Vision54c999.99$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4609138.5%35 W · 56 L-7.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Lynn Vision71c980.49$699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.54,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Lynn Vision64c910.47$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.954,13250.9%2,104 W · 2,028 L+72.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed JiJieHao40c802.57$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.34,26149.2%2,098 W · 2,163 L+62.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa5e…1468backed Lynn Vision51c772.95$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.758540%34 W · 51 L-8.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-17.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Lynn Vision50c767.86$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.2729044.8%130 W · 160 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0db0…6424backed JiJieHao33c767.5$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.076744.8%30 W · 37 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51b7…2fc7backed JiJieHao40c750.49$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.1143442.2%183 W · 251 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe988…8343backed Lynn Vision53c750$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.5650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdaaa…ca7dbacked Lynn Vision67c747.79$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.795259.6%31 W · 21 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x787f…d40cbacked Lynn Vision51c728.27$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.8528440.5%115 W · 169 L-17.0wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed JiJieHao49c664.84$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.772,04853.8%1,101 W · 947 L+8.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec5a…cd56backed Lynn Vision50c648.34$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.3412343.1%53 W · 70 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24d4…4e1dbacked Lynn Vision53c622.38$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.385644.6%25 W · 31 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc007…a0edbacked JiJieHao51c586.68$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.9220544.4%91 W · 114 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd12…7091backed Lynn Vision49c576.96$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.252941.4%12 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x66ea…6791backed Lynn Vision50c568$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28417948%86 W · 93 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed JiJieHao45c557.13$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25050050.8%254 W · 246 L-21.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf36e…f91cbacked Lynn Vision50c553.65$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.8330939.2%121 W · 188 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e9c…1fcabacked JiJieHao45c551.27$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2508324.1%20 W · 63 L-11.7wins-0.14per pick38cpaid-33.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xace6…5556backed JiJieHao43c531.33$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.2467651.8%350 W · 326 L+2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Lynn Vision50c524.65$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.1620458.3%119 W · 85 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7069…325bbacked JiJieHao47c519.49$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.5295245.8%436 W · 516 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe337…1f6fbacked JiJieHao48c500$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24126341.1%108 W · 155 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9859…1650backed Lynn Vision50c474$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.1912538.4%48 W · 77 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-25%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed Lynn Vision51c450$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.581,05139.8%418 W · 633 L+19.9wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked Lynn Vision53c425.53$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.5331451.6%162 W · 152 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19b5…c0aebacked Lynn Vision43c418.44$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.514353.5%23 W · 20 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+22%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd57b…7358backed JiJieHao56c414.9$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.355766.7%38 W · 19 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb575…d35bbacked JiJieHao41c409.13$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16610938.5%42 W · 67 L-0.5wins0.00per pick39cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed JiJieHao49c408$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,20554.5%657 W · 548 L-37.9wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1fe4…d0f1backed Lynn Vision52c406.4$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.5112252.5%64 W · 58 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e82…4cfbbacked JiJieHao51c364.49$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.374240.5%17 W · 25 L-5.0wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-23.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x93c8…adffbacked JiJieHao48c350.58$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17014046.4%65 W · 75 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x47c6…2fe4backed Lynn Vision60c340$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13621447.2%101 W · 113 L-8.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x56b3…2c42backed Lynn Vision50c340$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17036749.3%181 W · 186 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdfa5…01b3backed Lynn Vision60c335$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1347145.1%32 W · 39 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1982…bc7bbacked Lynn Vision71c324.99$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.531845.3%144 W · 174 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb57f…0c96backed Lynn Vision51c318.92$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.2721945.2%99 W · 120 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1025…7e11backed JiJieHao49c300$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14759140.4%239 W · 352 L+1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b78…e589backed Lynn Vision55c300$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13535861.7%221 W · 137 L+18.3wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x14fa…5258backed Lynn Vision50c291.42$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.713724.3%9 W · 28 L-5.4wins-0.15per pick39cpaid-40.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed JiJieHao49c285.71$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1401,68053.2%893 W · 787 L+65.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Lynn Vision70c264.87$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.262,60652.6%1,371 W · 1,235 L+96.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf0b…7cccbacked JiJieHao37c263.76$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.5945450.2%228 W · 226 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e8f…870ebacked Lynn Vision48c253.75$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.0122542.7%96 W · 129 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1661…4b37backed Lynn Vision72c253.6$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.017349.3%36 W · 37 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7e8…7953backed Lynn Vision79c252.4$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.440449.8%201 W · 203 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e83…00aabacked Lynn Vision51c243$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.6417742.4%75 W · 102 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf83…915dbacked JiJieHao41c236.21$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.3210729.9%32 W · 75 L-8.9wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd4e3…d5f4backed JiJieHao48c209.69$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014044.3%62 W · 78 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbd0…4303backed JiJieHao24c207.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010739.3%42 W · 65 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked JiJieHao49c206.06$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10058149.2%286 W · 295 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5a8…bf60backed JiJieHao49c202.64$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10098856.1%554 W · 434 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed JiJieHao43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$862,53643.1%1,094 W · 1,442 L+44.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17af…2a45backed JiJieHao52c190.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x141f…7711backed Lynn Vision53c187.8$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.84746.8%22 W · 25 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54ee…a524backed JiJieHao54c181.48$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981717.6%3 W · 14 L-3.9wins-0.23per pick41cpaid-69.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x56d6…4404backed Lynn Vision48c180$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.664058.1%372 W · 268 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Lynn Vision47c169.57$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.5755643.9%244 W · 312 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87a3…5857backed Lynn Vision44c167.35$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.5219747.7%94 W · 103 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b50…1db2backed Lynn Vision51c167.15$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.645950.8%30 W · 29 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e23…e933backed Lynn Vision61c165.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.1612660.3%76 W · 50 L-0.3wins0.00per pick61cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5839…3fa8backed Lynn Vision62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.292070%14 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6983…88c3backed Lynn Vision45c152$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.615641.7%65 W · 91 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bfe…5c6cbacked Lynn Vision51c150$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.522954.6%125 W · 104 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf20b…e27dbacked Lynn Vision50c150$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7534239.5%135 W · 207 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed JiJieHao49c149.99$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.121,02648.8%501 W · 525 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77ac…1bf6backed Lynn Vision54c147.09$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.0928961.2%177 W · 112 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+4.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Lynn Vision68c142.64$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.865,11337.1%1,899 W · 3,214 L-268.1wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d72…a791backed Lynn Vision52c133.03$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.2916954.4%92 W · 77 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1be…6471backed Lynn Vision38c132.82$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.8242757.8%247 W · 180 L+0.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05b7…c24abacked Lynn Vision52c131.52$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.357445.9%34 W · 40 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Lynn Vision60c129.34$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.743,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4647…0860backed JiJieHao41c120.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed Lynn Vision46c117.82$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.621,14643.5%499 W · 647 L-17.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Lynn Vision63c112.8$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.594,81743.4%2,091 W · 2,726 L-90.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-22.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1769…94efbacked Lynn Vision55c110$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.191648.9%448 W · 468 L+4.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6ed8…7559backed Lynn Vision55c108.41$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.0622750.7%115 W · 112 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ffb…f7f0backed JiJieHao54c106.65$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.4231351.1%160 W · 153 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe252…5714backed Lynn Vision47c106.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.3723335.2%82 W · 151 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+15.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf82f…59bfbacked JiJieHao46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468842%37 W · 51 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xae8e…08f9backed JiJieHao51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5137050.5%187 W · 183 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3109…ff47backed JiJieHao54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.518950.3%95 W · 94 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0241…fd36backed Lynn Vision47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5341155%226 W · 185 L+0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.