CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Lynn Vision - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c834ac0f6958c2e7c78b53bb8b7ebfd6e55cba61b56dbd9fe43325b22089682
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lynn Visionof JiJieHao, Lynn Vision
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,968
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,017
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,968 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed JiJieHao | 26c | 1,442$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.08 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Lynn Vision | 79c | 1,256$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.54 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked JiJieHao | 52c | 1,000$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf36e…f91cbacked Lynn Vision | 47c | 766.5$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.91 | 298 | 39.3%117 W · 181 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed JiJieHao | 39c | 509$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.1 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Lynn Vision | 73c | 458.98$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.67 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked JiJieHao | 56c | 358.7$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…47fcbacked JiJieHao | 58c | 331.96$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.22 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lynn Vision | 49c | 316.25$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.83 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked JiJieHao | 38c | 285.13$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 530 | 34.7%184 W · 346 L | -32.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5e…67c5backed JiJieHao | 48c | 283.41$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.98 | 305 | 27.5%84 W · 221 L | -17.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Lynn Vision | 56c | 253$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.08 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9859…1650backed Lynn Vision | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 125 | 38.4%48 W · 77 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b78…e589backed Lynn Vision | 44c | 199.99$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113 | 358 | 61.7%221 W · 137 L | +18.3wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked JiJieHao | 49c | 195$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.84 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Lynn Vision | 65c | 181.41$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.37 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Lynn Vision | 47c | 142.86$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.25 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb00…fda1backed JiJieHao | 29c | 120.19$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.28 | 411 | 47.7%196 W · 215 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked JiJieHao | 38c | 106.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.43 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x196a…f84bbacked JiJieHao | 27c | 95.17$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 33cpaid | -76%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2b…51c2backed Lynn Vision | 43c | 90$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.3 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x493a…0bd2backed JiJieHao | 57c | 89.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.29 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Lynn Vision | 74c | 69.45$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.72 | 204 | 40.7%83 W · 121 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd57b…7358backed JiJieHao | 52c | 62.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31d1…a9f7backed Lynn Vision | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 86 | 39.5%34 W · 52 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Lynn Vision | 43c | 60.47$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.47 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…07aebacked JiJieHao | 27c | 52.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked JiJieHao | 48c | 48.49$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.37 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb70…0854backed JiJieHao | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd0…4303backed JiJieHao | 58c | 39.91$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Lynn Vision | 63c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66da…69b0backed JiJieHao | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 280 | 42.5%119 W · 161 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Lynn Vision - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Lynn Vision (BO5) - Asian Champions League PlayoffsLynn Vision won
- Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Lynn Vision - Map 1 WinnerLynn Vision won
- Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Lynn Vision - Map 3 WinnerJiJieHao won
- Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Lynn Vision - Map 4 WinnerLynn Vision won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.