CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Lynn Vision - Map 4 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x161b50c0f663f937b8fe7dfe9e7f9d456de9b22755834bea21de1c9102f1e7e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lynn Visionof JiJieHao, Lynn Vision
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,011
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,687
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,011 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xef26…05babacked Lynn Vision | 16c | 1,847$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,555.56 | 598 | 39.6%237 W · 361 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Lynn Vision | 30c | 841.01$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.71 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Lynn Vision | 15c | 754.24$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.85 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed JiJieHao | 64c | 675.62$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.79 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed JiJieHao | 69c | 384.89$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.1 | 623 | 50.9%317 W · 306 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed Lynn Vision | 52c | 372.67$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.98 | 212 | 47.6%101 W · 111 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f9…c50bbacked Lynn Vision | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed JiJieHao | 48c | 278.67$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.7 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked Lynn Vision | 48c | 230.36$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.86 | 318 | 45.3%144 W · 174 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…47fcbacked JiJieHao | 55c | 200$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked JiJieHao | 53c | 187.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 530 | 34.7%184 W · 346 L | -32.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Lynn Vision | 29c | 184.8$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.22 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Lynn Vision | 29c | 181.69$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.2 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked JiJieHao | 78c | 178.18$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.62 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed JiJieHao | 70c | 157.43$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.24 | 204 | 62.7%128 W · 76 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Lynn Vision | 44c | 149.14$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.17 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b78…e589backed Lynn Vision | 21c | 99.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.99 | 358 | 61.7%221 W · 137 L | +18.3wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf348…e543backed Lynn Vision | 53c | 94.98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.9 | 230 | 72.6%167 W · 63 L | +27.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…279bbacked JiJieHao | 51c | 76.12$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.57 | 199 | 35.2%70 W · 129 L | -18.2wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd3…4f38backed Lynn Vision | 49c | 63.77$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bee…e55cbacked Lynn Vision | 53c | 52.83$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.83 | 204 | 57.8%118 W · 86 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…4fb8backed Lynn Vision | 30c | 50.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.83 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66da…69b0backed JiJieHao | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 280 | 42.5%119 W · 161 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9a…73fabacked Lynn Vision | 53c | 24.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 393 | 53.2%209 W · 184 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Lynn Vision - Map 4 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Lynn Vision (BO5) - Asian Champions League PlayoffsLynn Vision won
- Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Lynn Vision - Map 1 WinnerLynn Vision won
- Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Lynn Vision - Map 2 WinnerLynn Vision won
- Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Lynn Vision - Map 3 WinnerJiJieHao won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.