CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Lynn Vision - Map 3 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x402c12c1426e888953993fedee51745546d0cecc13989893eef515a047955a39
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- JiJieHaoof JiJieHao, Lynn Vision
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,023
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,737
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,023 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed Lynn Vision | 59c | 3,625$2,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,131.98 | 365 | 38.9%142 W · 223 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked JiJieHao | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,799.98 | 606 | 39.9%242 W · 364 L | -14.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked JiJieHao | 40c | 1,923$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,161.75 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Lynn Vision | 60c | 1,250$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.51 | 4,261 | 49.2%2,098 W · 2,163 L | +62.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Lynn Vision | 66c | 1,072$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.1 | 3,256 | 51.2%1,667 W · 1,589 L | +89.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77ac…1bf6backed JiJieHao | 71c | 985.2$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.2 | 289 | 61.2%177 W · 112 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Lynn Vision | 7c | 969.75$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.88 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec5a…cd56backed Lynn Vision | 60c | 786.67$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Lynn Vision | 12c | 522.45$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.93 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed JiJieHao | 44c | 492$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.04 | 5,911 | 37.7%2,228 W · 3,683 L | +74.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Lynn Vision | 62c | 447.44$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.91 | 1,388 | 66.3%920 W · 468 L | +75.9wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Lynn Vision | 68c | 400$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272 | 2,606 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,235 L | +96.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Lynn Vision | 40c | 388.65$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.43 | 4,817 | 43.4%2,091 W · 2,726 L | -90.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Lynn Vision | 52c | 377.64$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.43 | 6,522 | 42.9%2,798 W · 3,724 L | -80.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…51dbbacked Lynn Vision | 58c | 343.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 401 | 48.4%194 W · 207 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed JiJieHao | 26c | 321.1$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.16 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed JiJieHao | 41c | 298.3$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 2,674 | 51.9%1,388 W · 1,286 L | +25.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…47fcbacked JiJieHao | 49c | 296.08$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed JiJieHao | 35c | 286.57$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.98 | 623 | 50.9%317 W · 306 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Lynn Vision | 64c | 241.53$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.99 | 843 | 43.3%365 W · 478 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked JiJieHao | 45c | 221.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.77 | 530 | 34.7%184 W · 346 L | -32.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked JiJieHao | 48c | 206.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.25 | 581 | 49.2%286 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b78…e589backed Lynn Vision | 37c | 200$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 358 | 61.7%221 W · 137 L | +18.3wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba8e…8e0dbacked Lynn Vision | 74c | 200$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 505 | 58.4%295 W · 210 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked JiJieHao | 44c | 181.91$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.69 | 5,113 | 37.1%1,899 W · 3,214 L | -268.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5e…67c5backed JiJieHao | 38c | 128.68$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.78 | 305 | 27.5%84 W · 221 L | -17.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd3…4f38backed Lynn Vision | 67c | 126.96$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacad…f4fcbacked Lynn Vision | 64c | 116.3$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked JiJieHao | 48c | 104$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.08 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked Lynn Vision | 75c | 100.12$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.99 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked JiJieHao | 35c | 86.44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.97 | 5,651 | 47.2%2,668 W · 2,983 L | +46.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66da…69b0backed JiJieHao | 28c | 60$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 281 | 42.3%119 W · 162 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bee…e55cbacked Lynn Vision | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 204 | 57.8%118 W · 86 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2757…55f0backed Lynn Vision | 60c | 44$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 246 | 41.9%103 W · 143 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…b170backed JiJieHao | 44c | 30.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.97 | 114 | 42.1%48 W · 66 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Lynn Vision - Map 3 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Lynn Vision (BO5) - Asian Champions League PlayoffsLynn Vision won
- Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Lynn Vision - Map 1 WinnerLynn Vision won
- Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Lynn Vision - Map 2 WinnerLynn Vision won
- Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Lynn Vision - Map 4 WinnerLynn Vision won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.