CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Fire Flux Esports vs BIG Academy - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x176ab90430d8c6713e0435a93831479efc8de6ce354f6c004ea85a2cc504f1ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BIG Academyof Fire Flux Esports, BIG Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,827
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,698
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,827 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Fire Flux Esports | 32c | 4,567$1,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,466.89 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x928a…8044backed BIG Academy | 74c | 3,475$2,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.03 | 203 | 58.6%119 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde8f…2c72backed BIG Academy | 48c | 2,742$1,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,414.2 | 280 | 56.4%158 W · 122 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Fire Flux Esports | 11c | 1,225$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.39 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Fire Flux Esports | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Fire Flux Esports | 45c | 323.71$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.34 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Fire Flux Esports | 52c | 323.39$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.76 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Fire Flux Esports | 40c | 256.25$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Fire Flux Esports | 16c | 230$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.14 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Fire Flux Esports | 22c | 203.32$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.08 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Fire Flux Esports | 44c | 124.56$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.56 | 236 | 53.8%127 W · 109 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6d…71b4backed BIG Academy | 56c | 124.56$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.56 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Fire Flux Esports | 23c | 109.61$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.73 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Fire Flux Esports | 53c | 82.31$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.68 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7173…7a4cbacked Fire Flux Esports | 35c | 43.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…2561backed BIG Academy | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Fire Flux Esports | 40c | 38.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Fire Flux Esports | 41c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked BIG Academy | 70c | 14.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 445 | 63.8%284 W · 161 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Fire Flux Esports vs BIG Academy - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Fire Flux Esports vs BIG Academy (BO3) - United21 PlayoffsBIG Academy won
- Counter-Strike: Fire Flux Esports vs BIG Academy - Map 2 WinnerFire Flux Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.