CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Fire Flux Esports vs BIG Academy - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5174ec4d30ce7f12f522c9f18572936e50cf45c200bb312f1103f9b0f6de1b04
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fire Flux Esportsof Fire Flux Esports, BIG Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,810
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,919
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,810 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde8f…2c72backed BIG Academy | 40c | 3,281$1,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,312.75 | 280 | 56.4%158 W · 122 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Fire Flux Esports | 57c | 2,674$1,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,144.86 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8668…7f8fbacked BIG Academy | 45c | 1,256$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.24 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Fire Flux Esports | 56c | 975.13$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.02 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Fire Flux Esports | 60c | 409.97$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.89 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed BIG Academy | 54c | 383.53$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.05 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Fire Flux Esports | 62c | 283.99$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.94 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed BIG Academy | 35c | 195.87$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.55 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked BIG Academy | 38c | 154.86$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.16 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Fire Flux Esports | 55c | 127.54$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.21 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked BIG Academy | 40c | 124.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.09 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5341…92d6backed Fire Flux Esports | 61c | 113.61$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.31 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked BIG Academy | 42c | 83.41$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.88 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb829…4f5ebacked BIG Academy | 26c | 80$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 90 | 20%18 W · 72 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…df1dbacked Fire Flux Esports | 45c | 79.8$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.89 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x953e…79ffbacked Fire Flux Esports | 66c | 63$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 303 | 48.5%147 W · 156 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc9…e4afbacked Fire Flux Esports | 61c | 62.26$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.28 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d7…d801backed Fire Flux Esports | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Fire Flux Esports | 64c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…bf81backed Fire Flux Esports | 62c | 49.27$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 351 | 48.1%169 W · 182 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabcd…14f6backed BIG Academy | 44c | 43.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -4.1wins | -0.37per pick | 46cpaid | -82.2%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x30f4…8c1ebacked Fire Flux Esports | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 279 | 47.7%133 W · 146 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Fire Flux Esports | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.18 | 447 | 48.1%215 W · 232 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48ac…b7c9backed BIG Academy | 49c | 39.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -4.1wins | -0.19per pick | 64cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Fire Flux Esports | 57c | 39$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed BIG Academy | 36c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9c…5369backed Fire Flux Esports | 65c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 187 | 58.3%109 W · 78 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82a2…a875backed Fire Flux Esports | 49c | 30.82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.82 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…2561backed Fire Flux Esports | 55c | 29.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde7f…d8dbbacked BIG Academy | 37c | 29.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x372e…4ed8backed Fire Flux Esports | 68c | 29.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7173…7a4cbacked Fire Flux Esports | 61c | 28.35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.09 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked BIG Academy | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 789 | 63.8%503 W · 286 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Fire Flux Esports vs BIG Academy - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Fire Flux Esports vs BIG Academy (BO3) - United21 PlayoffsBIG Academy won
- Counter-Strike: Fire Flux Esports vs BIG Academy - Map 1 WinnerBIG Academy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.