Lol · resolved market
LoL: Apex Mission Impossible vs Citadel Gaming - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ce6000b377eac409cbe692e98c7f954a9bf5cfba9a897c7c7418043a0a9e0b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Citadel Gamingof Apex Mission Impossible, Citadel Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,831
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,007
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,831 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Apex Mission Impossible | 8c | 873.81$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.22 | 1,965 | 48.4%951 W · 1,014 L | +27.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb845…ca23backed Apex Mission Impossible | 21c | 735.72$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.02 | 76 | 28.9%22 W · 54 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Citadel Gaming | 75c | 650$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.5 | 2,521 | 47.3%1,193 W · 1,328 L | -34.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Citadel Gaming | 75c | 600$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa844…83b8backed Apex Mission Impossible | 25c | 535.71$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.93 | 621 | 58.8%365 W · 256 L | +32.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13c6…ff7dbacked Apex Mission Impossible | 16c | 530.69$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.58 | 230 | 23%53 W · 177 L | -19.5wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e4…65e7backed Apex Mission Impossible | 25c | 525.36$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.42 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Apex Mission Impossible | 15c | 464.75$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.89 | 2,836 | 41.4%1,175 W · 1,661 L | -12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked Apex Mission Impossible | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,675 | 59.3%993 W · 682 L | +96.8wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8430…3961backed Apex Mission Impossible | 14c | 288.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 381 | 54.3%207 W · 174 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked Citadel Gaming | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 302 | 53.6%162 W · 140 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Apex Mission Impossible | 10c | 233.29$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.33 | 869 | 43.2%375 W · 494 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Apex Mission Impossible | 16c | 185.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 1,939 | 42.2%819 W · 1,120 L | -46.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed4…f891backed Apex Mission Impossible | 17c | 142.88$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 512 | 47.3%242 W · 270 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Apex Mission Impossible | 17c | 110$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Apex Mission Impossible | 10c | 109.47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 2,984 | 44.5%1,329 W · 1,655 L | -94.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c1…3e0bbacked Apex Mission Impossible | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 636 | 46.9%298 W · 338 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5341…92d6backed Apex Mission Impossible | 14c | 93.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Apex Mission Impossible | 14c | 83.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 813 | 33%268 W · 545 L | -43.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Citadel Gaming | 80c | 81.74$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…66cbbacked Citadel Gaming | 79c | 56.83$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.93 | 1,019 | 55.8%569 W · 450 L | +22.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Apex Mission Impossible | 20c | 56.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 1,310 | 37.3%489 W · 821 L | -86.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f7d…3a0cbacked Apex Mission Impossible | 26c | 50.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Citadel Gaming | 79c | 47.62$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,522 | 54.7%832 W · 690 L | +37.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Apex Mission Impossible vs Citadel Gaming - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- LoL: Apex Mission Impossible vs Citadel Gaming (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular SeasonCitadel Gaming won
- LoL: Apex Mission Impossible vs Citadel Gaming - Game 2 WinnerCitadel Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.