Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Vitality - Map 1 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce2d306627ec5c6a990ec22c73d6b5c4572165501f0ba685287642b771489ff6

Rebuilt 6 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Team Vitalityof Fnatic, Team Vitality
Resolved: May 8, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $67,788
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $74,056

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,788 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Valorant
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xcf60…a6f5backed Fnatic	53c	32,152$17,088 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17,088.14	524	55.2%289 W · 235 L	-12.6wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x880b…c98bbacked Team Vitality	43c	31,204$13,398 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,805.62	266	50.8%135 W · 131 L	+7.0wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5038…6236backed Fnatic	56c	8,000$4,480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,479.99	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	+0.8wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Vitality	51c	4,204$2,156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,047.81	943	61.2%577 W · 366 L	+58.2wins	+0.06per pick	55cpaid	+3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xba38…e406backed Team Vitality	41c	1,530$627 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$902.82	548	51.1%280 W · 268 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa941…ec2ebacked Fnatic	46c	1,050$483 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$483	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.1wins	-0.16per pick	44cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x307d…9163backed Fnatic	58c	943.26$547 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$547.09	224	55.4%124 W · 100 L	-12.6wins	-0.06per pick	61cpaid	-10%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3fcc…9f91backed Fnatic	5c	869.82$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.36	604	23%139 W · 465 L	-25.3wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Vitality	66c	844.34$556 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$288.82	1,380	47.1%650 W · 730 L	+10.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2133…7903backed Team Vitality	70c	704$493 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$211.2	142	52.8%75 W · 67 L	+8.2wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed Team Vitality	71c	570.41$405 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$165.42	409	44.3%181 W · 228 L	-6.0wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Team Vitality	42c	521.41$218 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$303.32	257	61.1%157 W · 100 L	+22.9wins	+0.09per pick	52cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf21d…922bbacked Fnatic	59c	508.47$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	60	63.3%38 W · 22 L	+3.3wins	+0.05per pick	58cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Team Vitality	73c	446.53$324 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.56	785	62.8%493 W · 292 L	+56.2wins	+0.07per pick	56cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xddad…bce1backed Fnatic	57c	388.08$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220	126	56.3%71 W · 55 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2460…e144backed Fnatic	43c	374.94$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161	281	51.6%145 W · 136 L	-10.4wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e5e…67c5backed Fnatic	48c	367.08$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175	52	34.6%18 W · 34 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Fnatic	56c	343.27$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193.51	129	48.1%62 W · 67 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Fnatic	59c	338$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.42	331	53.5%177 W · 154 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3af1…d739backed Team Vitality	67c	336.93$226 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$111.35	13	76.9%10 W · 3 L	+3.1wins	+0.24per pick	53cpaid	+45.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked Fnatic	16c	322.39$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	244	57.8%141 W · 103 L	+14.8wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Fnatic	59c	300$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177	867	47.5%412 W · 455 L	-2.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2d21…92e5backed Fnatic	34c	290.03$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	53	49.1%26 W · 27 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Team Vitality	70c	285.83$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.75	1,746	46.2%806 W · 940 L	-3.2wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb57d…07bfbacked Fnatic	53c	284.63$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.62	145	34.5%50 W · 95 L	-7.6wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x877e…8c95backed Fnatic	40c	249.99$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.99	91	42.9%39 W · 52 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac9c…50d8backed Fnatic	8c	249.72$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.94	102	17.6%18 W · 84 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5341…92d6backed Team Vitality	74c	228.16$169 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.32	19	63.2%12 W · 7 L	+2.2wins	+0.12per pick	51cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaadb…85f9backed Fnatic	59c	220.34$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	428	40%171 W · 257 L	-22.4wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Team Vitality	78c	210.5$165 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.88	1,281	32.1%411 W · 870 L	-67.2wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Fnatic	35c	205.19$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.22	450	33.8%152 W · 298 L	-35.6wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x0b60…5c4ebacked Fnatic	47c	200$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94	103	33%34 W · 69 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe80c…f3e6backed Fnatic	59c	200$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118	96	40.6%39 W · 57 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7f24…b463backed Fnatic	23c	199.98$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.99	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.10per pick	47cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3a5…534cbacked Team Vitality	76c	196.53$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.53	130	44.6%58 W · 72 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90ab…2453backed Fnatic	58c	167.02$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.87	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-2.4wins	-0.47per pick	47cpaid	-100%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1816…2ee6backed Team Vitality	58c	137.29$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.29	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Fnatic	55c	136.16$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.29	932	48.1%448 W · 484 L	-11.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Team Vitality	68c	133.57$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43	779	29.5%230 W · 549 L	-72.4wins	-0.09per pick	39cpaid	-39%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3a0e…b0babacked Team Vitality	43c	116.51$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.51	48	54.2%26 W · 22 L	+2.8wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Team Vitality	44c	99.98$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.99	264	50%132 W · 132 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Team Vitality	53c	94.34$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.34	1,495	46.6%696 W · 799 L	-17.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87c0…244ebacked Fnatic	29c	93.1$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	83	43.4%36 W · 47 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9851…1320backed Fnatic	19c	92.81$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.42	32	53.1%17 W · 15 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc2b…d422backed Team Vitality	44c	90$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.1	13	69.2%9 W · 4 L	+2.9wins	+0.23per pick	47cpaid	+52%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Team Vitality	64c	76.55$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.34	1,365	38.9%531 W · 834 L	-60.0wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb963…3fa0backed Fnatic	35c	71.81$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.13	31	38.7%12 W · 19 L	-1.9wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x675c…4341backed Fnatic	56c	68.45$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.33	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xde4e…4819backed Fnatic	33c	64.86$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.71	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.39per pick	39cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86e6…e722backed Team Vitality	41c	60$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.7	87	57.5%50 W · 37 L	+6.4wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+21.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7242…ac6fbacked Team Vitality	42c	56.82$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.96	70	47.1%33 W · 37 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fa6…03ebbacked Fnatic	45c	50$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.5	199	43.7%87 W · 112 L	+4.5wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb6b…604ebacked Team Vitality	40c	50$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30	342	47.7%163 W · 179 L	+10.3wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Team Vitality	47c	46.32$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.55	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+1.5wins	+0.17per pick	50cpaid	+29.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f65…d822backed Fnatic	48c	43.75$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	84	51.2%43 W · 41 L	+2.6wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed Team Vitality	71c	43.54$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.63	257	52.1%134 W · 123 L	+6.6wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f42…924cbacked Fnatic	30c	42$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.48	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.30per pick	30cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Fnatic	58c	41.98$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.35	537	42.1%226 W · 311 L	-15.4wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1dff…f0c8backed Fnatic	36c	41.35$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.75	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.20per pick	45cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Team Vitality	49c	40.82$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.82	211	44.1%93 W · 118 L	-13.9wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x21ed…1ea1backed Team Vitality	45c	39.27$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.6	83	47%39 W · 44 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa658…f93ebacked Team Vitality	79c	37.99$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.99	277	60.6%168 W · 109 L	-9.5wins	-0.03per pick	64cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41a7…057ebacked Fnatic	38c	37.87$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.39	26	65.4%17 W · 9 L	+2.7wins	+0.10per pick	55cpaid	+24.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2494…17b3backed Fnatic	53c	37.74$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	24	33.3%8 W · 16 L	-3.3wins	-0.14per pick	47cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Fnatic	51c	35$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.85	636	52.7%335 W · 301 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x7673…fa40backed Fnatic	59c	33.9$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5407…5bbdbacked Team Vitality	67c	30$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.9	41	31.7%13 W · 28 L	-3.7wins	-0.09per pick	41cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0181…9b5fbacked Fnatic	34c	30$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.2	278	50%139 W · 139 L	+21.8wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0ab6…4880backed Team Vitality	66c	27.27$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.27	205	47.8%98 W · 107 L	+5.7wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f4b…69debacked Team Vitality	60c	24.62$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.73	519	48.4%251 W · 268 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1791…3e87backed Team Vitality	54c	21.21$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.77	247	51.8%128 W · 119 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Team Vitality	79c	20.7$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.41	322	61.5%198 W · 124 L	+24.5wins	+0.08per pick	54cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf9be…a0c1backed Team Vitality	64c	15.61$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.55	264	36%95 W · 169 L	-15.8wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Vitality - Map 1 Winnerthis page
Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Map Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs Team Vitality (+1.5)Team Vitality won
Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA PlayoffsTeam Vitality won
Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Vitality - Map 2 WinnerTeam Vitality won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Vitality - Map 1 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event