CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs AaB Esport - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1459d99bd442d25cec5ff94cb9ca272a8369142965c0dad37c2a710f520cd363
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- AaB Esportof Nemiga, AaB Esport
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,645
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,322
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,645 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed AaB Esport | 56c | 1,781$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.31 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…8796backed Nemiga | 47c | 927$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 282 | 54.6%154 W · 128 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Nemiga | 42c | 572.88$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.3 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5341…92d6backed AaB Esport | 57c | 554.06$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.73 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e35…2614backed AaB Esport | 43c | 465.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.5 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Nemiga | 47c | 321.24$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.98 | 2,664 | 30.8%820 W · 1,844 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Nemiga | 46c | 206.4$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.04 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf348…e543backed AaB Esport | 44c | 187.11$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.25 | 231 | 72.3%167 W · 64 L | +27.0wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nemiga | 54c | 176.95$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.98 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed AaB Esport | 33c | 148.87$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.74 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…5c4cbacked Nemiga | 67c | 148.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.74 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed Nemiga | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Nemiga | 61c | 142$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.21 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…4df8backed Nemiga | 50c | 118.86$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.43 | 183 | 56.3%103 W · 80 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Nemiga | 43c | 106.12$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.75 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Nemiga | 54c | 104.05$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.03 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked AaB Esport | 66c | 95.45$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.45 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Nemiga | 55c | 94$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.02 | 3,949 | 36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L | -201.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Nemiga | 37c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed AaB Esport | 44c | 68$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.08 | 424 | 27.1%115 W · 309 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86e6…e722backed Nemiga | 52c | 63.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.83 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed AaB Esport | 43c | 62$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.34 | 133 | 24.8%33 W · 100 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed AaB Esport | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7344…98f6backed Nemiga | 60c | 55.39$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 180 | 43.3%78 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked AaB Esport | 43c | 55.33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.54 | 363 | 34.2%124 W · 239 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e88…9b64backed AaB Esport | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed Nemiga | 44c | 44.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | -33.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6762…a9a5backed Nemiga | 63c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a00…d958backed Nemiga | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 316 | 62.7%198 W · 118 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed AaB Esport | 43c | 31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.67 | 223 | 24.7%55 W · 168 L | -21.2wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Nemiga | 55c | 30.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Nemiga | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff5…46a2backed Nemiga | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs AaB Esport - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs AaB Esport (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #1 PlayoffsNemiga won
- Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs AaB Esport - Map 2 WinnerNemiga won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.