TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Tricked vs AM Gaming - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Trickedof Tricked, AM Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,685
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,685

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,685 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7069…325bbacked AM Gaming33c800$264 inLost-$26494645.8%433 W · 513 L+18.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed Tricked59c591.22$348 inWon+$243.2143544.6%194 W · 241 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb31b…d703backed AM Gaming53c400.95$212 inLost-$21238552.7%203 W · 182 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Tricked67c399.26$268 inWon+$131.767,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5341…92d6backed Tricked63c238.42$150 inWon+$88.741145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Tricked44c205.84$91 inWon+$115.334,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6dcd…5ef7backed Tricked67c151$101 inWon+$49.8330153.8%162 W · 139 L-1.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked AM Gaming53c126.98$67 inLost-$67.074,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked AM Gaming47c92.48$43 inLost-$43.024,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f93…bffabacked AM Gaming31c73$23 inLost-$22.6378963.8%503 W · 286 L-2.5wins0.00per pick64cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked AM Gaming18c72$13 inLost-$12.983,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfcc9…e4afbacked AM Gaming35c68.57$24 inLost-$247143.7%31 W · 40 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed AM Gaming45c45$20 inLost-$20.12,36246.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L-53.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfff…3d0ebacked AM Gaming28c40$11 inLost-$113246.9%15 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked AM Gaming65c30$20 inLost-$19.51,31551.1%672 W · 643 L-99.5wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-18.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Tricked35c30$11 inWon+$19.515648.1%75 W · 81 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Tricked41c30$12 inWon+$17.646,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54d7…55c2backed AM Gaming40c25.56$10 inLost-$10.139149.5%45 W · 46 L-7.8wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-22.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1dff…f0c8backed Tricked56c19.99$11 inWon+$8.81850%9 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.