Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b0a6796d623645f4364a09632068686bd7f9fcda1d3668511e2973b8e5c2f93
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- L1ga Teamof L1ga Team, MOUZ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $170,824
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $195,388
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $170,824 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 186 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb6f8…7e78backed MOUZ | 75c | 18,353$13,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,764.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +56%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked L1ga Team | 43c | 11,915$5,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,735.18 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed MOUZ | 58c | 11,231$6,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,469.24 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed L1ga Team | 42c | 10,839$4,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,336.16 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed L1ga Team | 46c | 9,592$4,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,177.21 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4d…8525backed MOUZ | 54c | 8,671$4,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,657.03 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed MOUZ | 56c | 5,500$3,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,064.95 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked L1ga Team | 40c | 5,488$2,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,315.28 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89ff…a8f2backed MOUZ | 62c | 4,070$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,520 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…92fbbacked MOUZ | 57c | 3,324$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…5539backed L1ga Team | 34c | 2,872$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,904.2 | 174 | 54%94 W · 80 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked MOUZ | 45c | 2,839$1,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,267.56 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed L1ga Team | 53c | 2,749$1,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,285.48 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked L1ga Team | 26c | 2,694$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,984.27 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed MOUZ | 60c | 2,580$1,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,552.5 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked L1ga Team | 45c | 2,500$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2a…5ae1backed L1ga Team | 42c | 2,355$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,355.41 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb53a…e694backed MOUZ | 47c | 2,302$1,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,093 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | -7.9wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4d12backed L1ga Team | 39c | 2,125$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,292.21 | 350 | 62.6%219 W · 131 L | +44.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed L1ga Team | 53c | 2,083$1,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.42 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked L1ga Team | 55c | 1,923$1,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.98 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed MOUZ | 58c | 1,700$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed L1ga Team | 45c | 1,684$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931.07 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked L1ga Team | 45c | 1,662$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$908.78 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed L1ga Team | 42c | 1,628$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.33 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed MOUZ | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.99 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed L1ga Team | 46c | 1,466$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.09 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked L1ga Team | 43c | 1,450$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.51 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked L1ga Team | 54c | 1,399$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.73 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked L1ga Team | 64c | 1,360$877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.32 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked L1ga Team | 25c | 1,260$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.99 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed L1ga Team | 42c | 1,257$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.38 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked L1ga Team | 43c | 1,200$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked L1ga Team | 47c | 1,067$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.77 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked MOUZ | 54c | 1,052$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.12 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed MOUZ | 54c | 1,016$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.05 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked MOUZ | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…262bbacked L1ga Team | 39c | 989.08$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.14 | 526 | 49.2%259 W · 267 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed L1ga Team | 43c | 946.58$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.55 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked MOUZ | 58c | 896.61$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.93 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked L1ga Team | 38c | 856.42$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.05 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2978…4a1cbacked MOUZ | 59c | 845$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.75 | 68 | 73.5%50 W · 18 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda00…5c4dbacked MOUZ | 59c | 830.49$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.53 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5341…92d6backed L1ga Team | 58c | 828.41$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.26 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x356f…639fbacked L1ga Team | 43c | 806$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.18 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed L1ga Team | 45c | 799.99$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed L1ga Team | 30c | 774.75$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.73 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed MOUZ | 5c | 700$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.56 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked L1ga Team | 39c | 634.92$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.3 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd206…bd2abacked MOUZ | 52c | 621.59$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.5 | 159 | 57.2%91 W · 68 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x948a…d1a4backed L1ga Team | 46c | 606.35$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.43 | 242 | 55%133 W · 109 L | +14.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed L1ga Team | 43c | 600$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked L1ga Team | 62c | 583.47$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.66 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed MOUZ | 60c | 566.31$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.06 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked L1ga Team | 39c | 538.46$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.46 | 153 | 58.8%90 W · 63 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked L1ga Team | 41c | 532.95$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.13 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked MOUZ | 56c | 499.99$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.99 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed L1ga Team | 42c | 489$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.61 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked L1ga Team | 50c | 464.63$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.95 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked MOUZ | 55c | 438.26$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.98 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked L1ga Team | 31c | 402.46$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.08 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb953…5393backed L1ga Team | 36c | 400$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae4c…dcb9backed L1ga Team | 80c | 393.74$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.75 | 285 | 49.1%140 W · 145 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed L1ga Team | 44c | 384.28$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.99 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6117…2fafbacked L1ga Team | 68c | 382.74$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.56 | 173 | 73.4%127 W · 46 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked MOUZ | 25c | 377.56$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.11 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a84…a46bbacked MOUZ | 55c | 367.29$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.65 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed MOUZ | 56c | 359.34$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 305 | 34.4%105 W · 200 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed L1ga Team | 47c | 356.43$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.16 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed MOUZ | 55c | 348.74$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.12 | 450 | 46.7%210 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed L1ga Team | 45c | 348.61$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.28 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked MOUZ | 57c | 347.85$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca2…5d25backed MOUZ | 54c | 341.29$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.69 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…3ccbbacked MOUZ | 17c | 338.19$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.63 | 155 | 36.1%56 W · 99 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed L1ga Team | 46c | 326.08$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.08 | 500 | 53%265 W · 235 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed L1ga Team | 37c | 318.96$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.75 | 276 | 36.2%100 W · 176 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked MOUZ | 59c | 313.34$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.68 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed MOUZ | 61c | 308.8$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.35 | 87 | 28.7%25 W · 62 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked MOUZ | 62c | 290.25$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.96 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked L1ga Team | 41c | 269.47$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.27 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…d8c0backed L1ga Team | 47c | 265.22$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.32 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed L1ga Team | 46c | 260.52$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.11 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed L1ga Team | 56c | 255.15$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.38 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed L1ga Team | 43c | 250$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.5 | 324 | 41.7%135 W · 189 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked L1ga Team | 45c | 242.58$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.27 | 683 | 45.8%313 W · 370 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9852…111abacked L1ga Team | 46c | 241.3$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.3 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59e2…1c55backed L1ga Team | 43c | 239.99$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.21 | 475 | 48%228 W · 247 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x443c…d83abacked L1ga Team | 53c | 233.21$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.64 | 258 | 51.2%132 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x968a…3841backed L1ga Team | 46c | 232.16$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.37 | 209 | 39.2%82 W · 127 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14f4…fa45backed L1ga Team | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked L1ga Team | 49c | 204.36$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.15 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked L1ga Team | 49c | 201$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.87 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed L1ga Team | 42c | 200$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | +15.1wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xffc4…b347backed L1ga Team | 76c | 200$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 294 | 66%194 W · 100 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked MOUZ | 35c | 197.2$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.02 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed MOUZ | 28c | 195$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.66 | 168 | 37.5%63 W · 105 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed L1ga Team | 46c | 194$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.58 | 213 | 33.3%71 W · 142 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed L1ga Team | 59c | 181$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.93 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1863…6174backed L1ga Team | 53c | 179.99$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.8 | 304 | 60.2%183 W · 121 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f7…aebbbacked L1ga Team | 56c | 177.42$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.42 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs MOUZ (BO3) - 1win Essence Decider StageL1ga Team won
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs MOUZ - Game 2 WinnerMOUZ won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.