Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs MOUZ (BO3) - 1win Essence Decider Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x21b9d1cbb7ca08bd397243120a1b4e5c66750f7ee73031a5e919611de5804ad9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- L1ga Teamof L1ga Team, MOUZ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $221,472
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $236,662
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $221,472 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 275 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed L1ga Team | 45c | 20,188$9,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,050.57 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e7…6a52backed MOUZ | 55c | 18,400$10,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,133.95 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed MOUZ | 44c | 15,122$6,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,674.59 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked L1ga Team | 51c | 12,400$6,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,117.51 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked L1ga Team | 40c | 8,254$3,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,989.27 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed L1ga Team | 43c | 7,342$3,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,150.04 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked L1ga Team | 43c | 7,171$3,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,108.53 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked MOUZ | 57c | 6,958$3,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,962.26 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed MOUZ | 55c | 6,847$3,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,746.65 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked L1ga Team | 42c | 5,915$2,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,449.82 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked MOUZ | 54c | 5,733$3,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,096 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed L1ga Team | 52c | 4,559$2,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,185.55 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89ff…a8f2backed MOUZ | 55c | 3,230$1,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,784.01 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked L1ga Team | 47c | 2,554$1,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360.05 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed L1ga Team | 42c | 2,493$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,446.86 | 291 | 43.6%127 W · 164 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked MOUZ | 55c | 2,391$1,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,315.94 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked L1ga Team | 44c | 2,385$1,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,327.98 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed MOUZ | 59c | 2,300$1,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,357 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed L1ga Team | 40c | 2,223$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,340.44 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed L1ga Team | 39c | 2,068$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,261.27 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d6…8f66backed MOUZ | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked L1ga Team | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed L1ga Team | 43c | 1,912$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092.67 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d2…86e7backed MOUZ | 55c | 1,844$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.83 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked MOUZ | 54c | 1,735$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.43 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed MOUZ | 52c | 1,700$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed MOUZ | 44c | 1,629$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.73 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed MOUZ | 61c | 1,617$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.12 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…150bbacked MOUZ | 64c | 1,553$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 592 | 54.1%320 W · 272 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…febfbacked MOUZ | 69c | 1,442$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 216 | 50.9%110 W · 106 L | -25.3wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked MOUZ | 53c | 1,361$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.54 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed MOUZ | 16c | 1,300$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked MOUZ | 70c | 1,274$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.61 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed L1ga Team | 42c | 1,241$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.81 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked L1ga Team | 29c | 1,237$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.25 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf919…3241backed L1ga Team | 45c | 1,223$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.86 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed L1ga Team | 47c | 1,199$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.53 | 450 | 46.7%210 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77f6…dbd1backed MOUZ | 25c | 1,169$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.71 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39a7…bcb7backed MOUZ | 61c | 1,138$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948a…d1a4backed L1ga Team | 53c | 1,127$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.17 | 242 | 55%133 W · 109 L | +14.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked MOUZ | 44c | 1,112$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.3 | 441 | 49.4%218 W · 223 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed MOUZ | 48c | 1,111$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.28 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked L1ga Team | 48c | 1,048$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.61 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked MOUZ | 56c | 1,013$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.49 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4d12backed MOUZ | 40c | 1,007$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.58 | 350 | 62.6%219 W · 131 L | +44.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed L1ga Team | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed L1ga Team | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked L1ga Team | 38c | 999.99$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.99 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed L1ga Team | 44c | 980.62$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.58 | 713 | 42.5%303 W · 410 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x968a…3841backed MOUZ | 53c | 943.53$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.85 | 209 | 39.2%82 W · 127 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked MOUZ | 43c | 862.88$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.07 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2662…3f84backed MOUZ | 58c | 855.19$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 145 | 62.1%90 W · 55 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked MOUZ | 59c | 845.44$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 203 | 67%136 W · 67 L | +14.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc91…299cbacked MOUZ | 56c | 804.2$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda00…5c4dbacked MOUZ | 64c | 798.53$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.37 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed MOUZ | 39c | 797.16$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.68 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed L1ga Team | 50c | 797.01$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.01 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2978…4a1cbacked MOUZ | 65c | 779.99$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.99 | 68 | 73.5%50 W · 18 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked L1ga Team | 50c | 728.99$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.45 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc690…5231backed MOUZ | 61c | 713.74$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae4c…dcb9backed MOUZ | 55c | 702.49$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.25 | 285 | 49.1%140 W · 145 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed L1ga Team | 40c | 699.52$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.71 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf9…c7adbacked L1ga Team | 44c | 687.57$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +128.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked L1ga Team | 37c | 684.75$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.5 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca2…5d25backed MOUZ | 27c | 598.11$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.95 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed L1ga Team | 38c | 584.27$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.77 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1b…e3b3backed L1ga Team | 50c | 577.43$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.03 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed L1ga Team | 37c | 542.81$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.81 | 305 | 34.4%105 W · 200 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked MOUZ | 64c | 533.44$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.48 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked L1ga Team | 60c | 532.91$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.35 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…2a39backed L1ga Team | 39c | 530.37$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.3 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d36…51debacked L1ga Team | 43c | 500$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked MOUZ | 58c | 499.99$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.99 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc5…d1a4backed L1ga Team | 40c | 491.19$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.18 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb5…6fe9backed L1ga Team | 40c | 489.4$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +151.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3304…8313backed MOUZ | 58c | 486.57$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.21 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f4…fa45backed MOUZ | 47c | 477.57$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.65 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9852…111abacked L1ga Team | 49c | 461.22$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.22 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed MOUZ | 37c | 450$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.32 | 437 | 38.4%168 W · 269 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf52e…54fcbacked MOUZ | 71c | 418.89$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.41 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c5…da68backed L1ga Team | 39c | 403$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.94 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed MOUZ | 48c | 399.97$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.98 | 675 | 55%371 W · 304 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked L1ga Team | 50c | 398.49$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.78 | 587 | 46.5%273 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed MOUZ | 67c | 390.97$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.95 | 246 | 36.6%90 W · 156 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…d14dbacked MOUZ | 51c | 387$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.23 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccd7…f491backed L1ga Team | 63c | 380.14$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.38 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed MOUZ | 59c | 380$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.6 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59e2…1c55backed MOUZ | 58c | 368.11$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.44 | 475 | 48%228 W · 247 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked MOUZ | 51c | 360.19$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.32 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed L1ga Team | 42c | 355.42$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.42 | 864 | 51.7%447 W · 417 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed L1ga Team | 55c | 353.84$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.02 | 168 | 39.9%67 W · 101 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed L1ga Team | 54c | 347.23$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.06 | 207 | 40.1%83 W · 124 L | -14.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45da…72febacked L1ga Team | 36c | 343.4$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.78 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd0…c747backed L1ga Team | 61c | 343.03$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.78 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked MOUZ | 62c | 320$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.4 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked MOUZ | 56c | 303.27$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.24 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86bc…efbcbacked MOUZ | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 235 | 55.7%131 W · 104 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed L1ga Team | 43c | 292.19$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.78 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked L1ga Team | 48c | 290.86$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.18 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad2a…99a3backed MOUZ | 51c | 286.15$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.94 | 237 | 36.7%87 W · 150 L | -17.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs MOUZ (BO3) - 1win Essence Decider Stagethis page
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs MOUZ - Game 1 WinnerL1ga Team won
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs MOUZ - Game 2 WinnerMOUZ won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.