Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c1da95069e97df3e7a537ae5c699f5dac1a0322abe2a242a04c94132dbddf63
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZof L1ga Team, MOUZ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $120,174
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $136,794
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $120,174 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 168 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed MOUZ | 55c | 15,271$8,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,945.96 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked MOUZ | 54c | 11,838$6,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,398.12 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e7…6a52backed L1ga Team | 49c | 11,069$5,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,459.14 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked L1ga Team | 46c | 8,686$4,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,002.25 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked L1ga Team | 50c | 6,800$3,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,408.42 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed L1ga Team | 46c | 6,134$2,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,846.33 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed MOUZ | 69c | 4,002$2,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…92fbbacked L1ga Team | 51c | 3,958$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked MOUZ | 52c | 3,111$1,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,485.52 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked L1ga Team | 49c | 2,971$1,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,463.18 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2a…5ae1backed L1ga Team | 42c | 2,385$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked MOUZ | 52c | 2,035$1,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$982.41 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked MOUZ | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed MOUZ | 59c | 1,892$1,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.33 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed MOUZ | 54c | 1,805$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.24 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89ff…a8f2backed MOUZ | 62c | 1,786$1,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.53 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed MOUZ | 48c | 1,600$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.99 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed L1ga Team | 48c | 1,584$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.71 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed MOUZ | 59c | 1,379$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.54 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked L1ga Team | 44c | 1,281$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.57 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked MOUZ | 52c | 1,200$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.54 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked MOUZ | 57c | 1,167$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.67 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked MOUZ | 49c | 1,133$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.94 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d2…86e7backed L1ga Team | 50c | 1,111$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.97 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked L1ga Team | 43c | 1,107$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.35 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked L1ga Team | 51c | 1,011$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.23 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked L1ga Team | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 122 | 17.2%21 W · 101 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked L1ga Team | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked MOUZ | 45c | 999.99$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.99 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked MOUZ | 50c | 964.57$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.29 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed L1ga Team | 53c | 958.21$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507 | 450 | 46.7%210 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed MOUZ | 50c | 931.25$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.63 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed L1ga Team | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.8 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed L1ga Team | 34c | 800$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed L1ga Team | 32c | 799.99$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda00…5c4dbacked MOUZ | 64c | 775.58$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.16 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked L1ga Team | 45c | 762$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.44 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed L1ga Team | 51c | 745$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.66 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked MOUZ | 54c | 743.4$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked MOUZ | 56c | 739.98$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.59 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…2d79backed MOUZ | 54c | 694.58$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.17 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked L1ga Team | 38c | 685.35$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.23 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae4c…dcb9backed MOUZ | 50c | 614$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.3 | 285 | 49.1%140 W · 145 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked MOUZ | 49c | 545.14$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.07 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked MOUZ | 52c | 532.72$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.79 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…31d6backed L1ga Team | 40c | 505.01$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 112 | 39.3%44 W · 68 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked MOUZ | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed L1ga Team | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59e2…1c55backed MOUZ | 67c | 499.42$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.13 | 475 | 48%228 W · 247 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2662…3f84backed L1ga Team | 50c | 499.29$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 145 | 62.1%90 W · 55 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed MOUZ | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.19 | 305 | 34.4%105 W · 200 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked MOUZ | 56c | 459.76$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.44 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5051…82a6backed L1ga Team | 41c | 451.37$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.06 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | +12.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6117…2fafbacked MOUZ | 62c | 430.77$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.29 | 173 | 73.4%127 W · 46 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce7a…fef0backed L1ga Team | 47c | 424.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 191 | 45.5%87 W · 104 L | +13.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…1811backed L1ga Team | 46c | 395.34$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.31 | 318 | 35.8%114 W · 204 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed MOUZ | 50c | 385.65$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.71 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9852…111abacked L1ga Team | 48c | 377.92$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x968a…3841backed MOUZ | 50c | 369.52$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.6 | 209 | 39.2%82 W · 127 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaab1…9b4fbacked MOUZ | 56c | 355.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.8 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14f4…fa45backed L1ga Team | 36c | 343.38$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked L1ga Team | 39c | 320.29$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.37 | 268 | 43.7%117 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked MOUZ | 68c | 301.12$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.16 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…d8c0backed MOUZ | 50c | 300.75$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.75 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed MOUZ | 71c | 293$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.46 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked L1ga Team | 32c | 281.23$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.24 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed L1ga Team | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 500 | 53%265 W · 235 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed MOUZ | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 437 | 38.4%168 W · 269 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked MOUZ | 58c | 249.31$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.53 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed L1ga Team | 33c | 246$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.54 | 59 | 23.7%14 W · 45 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked MOUZ | 60c | 235$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53f9…e920backed MOUZ | 62c | 234.56$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.56 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7a…a930backed L1ga Team | 40c | 230.83$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.84 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…d14dbacked MOUZ | 59c | 226.5$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.66 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed MOUZ | 45c | 218.78$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.33 | 721 | 54%389 W · 332 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…ba12backed MOUZ | 45c | 216.49$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.07 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x592c…ee32backed MOUZ | 48c | 208.38$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.38 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48f7…3aebbacked L1ga Team | 49c | 200$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 668 | 48.5%324 W · 344 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed MOUZ | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x443c…d83abacked L1ga Team | 50c | 193.23$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.2 | 258 | 51.2%132 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked L1ga Team | 47c | 181.24$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.29 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked L1ga Team | 43c | 172.33$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.34 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked L1ga Team | 30c | 166$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.48 | 683 | 45.8%313 W · 370 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa8…6e47backed MOUZ | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.7wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed L1ga Team | 49c | 151.23$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.81 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed MOUZ | 52c | 150$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.76 | 645 | 47.8%308 W · 337 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce5…a07fbacked L1ga Team | 52c | 134.62$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc182…1339backed MOUZ | 55c | 126.75$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.77 | 288 | 46.5%134 W · 154 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed L1ga Team | 47c | 119.2$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.13 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9c…b01cbacked L1ga Team | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -7.3wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked L1ga Team | 49c | 117.34$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.3 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ddf…5c37backed L1ga Team | 37c | 116$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.62 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed L1ga Team | 38c | 115.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.08 | 227 | 52.9%120 W · 107 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca3…9613backed L1ga Team | 52c | 113.56$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 147 | 63.3%93 W · 54 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc9…e4afbacked MOUZ | 55c | 111.61$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.52 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…e919backed MOUZ | 58c | 111.24$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.72 | 308 | 34.1%105 W · 203 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e51…71d4backed L1ga Team | 50c | 108.56$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked L1ga Team | 54c | 107.53$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed L1ga Team | 42c | 106.25$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 864 | 51.7%447 W · 417 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee1…377abacked L1ga Team | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs MOUZ (BO3) - 1win Essence Decider StageL1ga Team won
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs MOUZ - Game 1 WinnerL1ga Team won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.