Lol · resolved market
LoL: Maryville University vs Winthrop University - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x340bd67319c93217936a2dd618f4e0f41a746da2f50e0504d2c39008d382555a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maryville Universityof Maryville University, Winthrop University
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,802
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,169
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,802 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Winthrop University | 28c | 1,305$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367 | 905 | 37.5%339 W · 566 L | -18.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa941…ec2ebacked Maryville University | 72c | 1,051$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.4 | 511 | 60.3%308 W · 203 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Maryville University | 72c | 394.88$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.57 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Maryville University | 75c | 240.34$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.22 | 1,922 | 42.2%811 W · 1,111 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe80c…f3e6backed Winthrop University | 17c | 204.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.06 | 180 | 43.9%79 W · 101 L | +10.9wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Maryville University | 71c | 171.35$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.69 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4910…2ae7backed Maryville University | 75c | 130$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.75 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed Winthrop University | 29c | 120.56$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.96 | 313 | 37.7%118 W · 195 L | -15.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Winthrop University | 28c | 110$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Winthrop University | 25c | 105$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 869 | 43.2%375 W · 494 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Winthrop University | 24c | 93.59$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.46 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Winthrop University | 29c | 86.38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 808 | 32.9%266 W · 542 L | -43.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c27…21a9backed Winthrop University | 29c | 76.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.88 | 143 | 58.7%84 W · 59 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked Winthrop University | 28c | 71.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 133 | 48.9%65 W · 68 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0146…177dbacked Maryville University | 76c | 67.33$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.16 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed Winthrop University | 47c | 61$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 129 | 41.1%53 W · 76 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Maryville University | 53c | 52$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.35 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbed4…f891backed Winthrop University | 29c | 50.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 512 | 47.3%242 W · 270 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed Winthrop University | 36c | 46.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 618 | 49.8%308 W · 310 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x431a…50d7backed Winthrop University | 24c | 45.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 334 | 53.9%180 W · 154 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…527ebacked Maryville University | 72c | 42.09$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 625 | 58.7%367 W · 258 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5341…92d6backed Winthrop University | 35c | 42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x546a…36fdbacked Winthrop University | 49c | 40.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a35…6fe0backed Maryville University | 51c | 40.93$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.06 | 336 | 42.3%142 W · 194 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90d4…2deebacked Winthrop University | 29c | 39.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 68 | 11.8%8 W · 60 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Maryville University | 75c | 37.48$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.26 | 444 | 51.8%230 W · 214 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Maryville University | 73c | 19.94$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.38 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Maryville University vs Winthrop University - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: MVU (-1.5) vs Winthrop University (+1.5)Maryville University won
- LoL: Maryville University vs Winthrop University (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular SeasonMaryville University won
- LoL: Maryville University vs Winthrop University - Game 2 WinnerMaryville University won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.