Lol · resolved market
LoL: Maryville University vs Winthrop University - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd69bb57b2f8edc956049f9f6a6e02b73611ded4bae7911f9919a525e3dabb61c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maryville Universityof Maryville University, Winthrop University
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,804
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,751
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,804 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7441…cb79backed Winthrop University | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 0%0 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Winthrop University | 12c | 372.18$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.16 | 190 | 41.1%78 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…e21dbacked Maryville University | 68c | 348.01$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.06 | 1,012 | 47%476 W · 536 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf28…db5dbacked Winthrop University | 31c | 194.95$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.82 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Winthrop University | 22c | 190.31$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.14 | 1,939 | 42.2%819 W · 1,120 L | -46.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Winthrop University | 23c | 145.25$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.92 | 753 | 42.5%320 W · 433 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09fd…60f7backed Winthrop University | 28c | 139.64$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 72 | 20.8%15 W · 57 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa941…ec2ebacked Maryville University | 72c | 129.64$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.3 | 511 | 60.3%308 W · 203 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed Winthrop University | 29c | 120.56$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.57 | 318 | 38.1%121 W · 197 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Winthrop University | 28c | 110$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Maryville University | 72c | 110$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 1,502 | 50.3%756 W · 746 L | +71.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa844…83b8backed Maryville University | 79c | 93.74$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 621 | 58.8%365 W · 256 L | +32.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…2748backed Winthrop University | 23c | 93.13$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.31 | 321 | 60.7%195 W · 126 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Maryville University | 71c | 81.28$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 1,802 | 51.2%923 W · 879 L | +53.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Maryville University | 65c | 73$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 181 | 39.2%71 W · 110 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Winthrop University | 20c | 71.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 2,836 | 41.4%1,175 W · 1,661 L | -12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked Maryville University | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 1,675 | 59.3%993 W · 682 L | +96.8wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Winthrop University | 17c | 61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 1,545 | 43.8%676 W · 869 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed Winthrop University | 47c | 61$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 129 | 41.1%53 W · 76 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Winthrop University | 29c | 59.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 869 | 43.2%375 W · 494 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Maryville University | 53c | 52$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.35 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc400…21a7backed Maryville University | 80c | 49.15$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.83 | 231 | 49.8%115 W · 116 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x546a…36fdbacked Winthrop University | 40c | 41.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90d4…2deebacked Winthrop University | 29c | 39.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 68 | 11.8%8 W · 60 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76bb…4548backed Maryville University | 75c | 35.92$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.92 | 349 | 60.7%212 W · 137 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Maryville University | 76c | 32.3$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.9 | 249 | 59.8%149 W · 100 L | +18.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Maryville University | 68c | 29.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.53 | 204 | 39.2%80 W · 124 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a35…6fe0backed Maryville University | 60c | 29.45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 336 | 42.3%142 W · 194 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91f8…71e0backed Maryville University | 46c | 27.6$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.03 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8430…3961backed Maryville University | 79c | 25.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 381 | 54.3%207 W · 174 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa05…fed7backed Maryville University | 78c | 24.36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.36 | 103 | 63.1%65 W · 38 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedab…8926backed Maryville University | 71c | 19.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 393 | 52.4%206 W · 187 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…038cbacked Maryville University | 75c | 19.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.99 | 135 | 56.3%76 W · 59 L | -7.6wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…6471backed Maryville University | 74c | 15.01$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 134 | 73.9%99 W · 35 L | +13.8wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4910…2ae7backed Maryville University | 73c | 13.93$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.76 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Maryville University vs Winthrop University - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: MVU (-1.5) vs Winthrop University (+1.5)Maryville University won
- LoL: Maryville University vs Winthrop University (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular SeasonMaryville University won
- LoL: Maryville University vs Winthrop University - Game 1 WinnerMaryville University won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.