TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xba27…5c9d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
32
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: CS2, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 53 out of 100; worst MLB at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Tommy Paulbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.76
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.27
Roland Garros ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Jesper de Jongbacked Jesper de Jong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$8.06
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Simeon Stankovic vs Kristijan Juhasbacked Kristijan Juhas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.16
Roland Garros ATP: Luca Van Assche vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$6.91
Roland Garros ATP: Raphael Collignon vs Ben Sheltonbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.44
Roland Garros ATP: Francisco Comesana vs Luciano Darderibacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.36
Roland Garros WTA: Anna Kalinskaya vs Alina Korneevabacked Anna Kalinskaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$9.78
Roland Garros ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Moise Kouamebacked Moise Kouame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$7.69
Roland Garros ATP: Mariano Navone vs Jakub Mensikbacked Mariano Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.98
Roland Garros ATP: Nuno Borges vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Miomir Kecmanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Katie Volynetsbacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$9.37
Roland Garros ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Andrey Rublevbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9.16
Roland Garros ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Marco Trungellitibacked Karen Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$6.39
Wuxi: Mark Lajal vs Soon-Woo Kwonbacked Soon-Woo Kwon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$3.03
All 15 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+50.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$21.6
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Sharks - Map 1 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$19.05
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs Evil Geniuses - Map 2 Winnerbacked KRÜ Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$27.6
Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs Evil Geniuses - Map 1 Winnerbacked KRÜ Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.53
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israeli forces cross the Litani River again by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$35.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Joanderson Brito vs. Jordan Leavitt (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Joanderson Brito · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$29.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+37%+$4.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CD Guadalajara vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.29
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.