MLB · resolved market
Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5fffbe44e0160385cbd20babb64b25ed3ef90e4c33f7112db73cc6ec411c9a7d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cleveland Guardiansof Minnesota Twins, Cleveland Guardians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $513,158
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $523,892
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $513,158 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 217 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Minnesota Twins | 43c | 240,014$102,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102,991.93 | 210 | 40%84 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f21…0ec5backed Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 100,000$57,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,000 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 38,500$21,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,555 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 24,443$13,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,510.49 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Minnesota Twins | 43c | 20,000$8,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,599.99 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 19,828$11,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,327.59 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 17,544$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,543.86 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 13,500$7,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,850 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 13,167$7,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,552.58 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Minnesota Twins | 43c | 11,628$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 10,761$4,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,519.51 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Minnesota Twins | 12c | 10,589$1,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,226.73 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 10,404$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,403.72 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 10,000$5,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,300 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 9,697$5,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,150.55 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cleveland Guardians | 62c | 8,467$5,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,236.58 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 7,153$4,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,103.93 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Cleveland Guardians | 65c | 6,883$4,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,417.63 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked Minnesota Twins | 43c | 6,000$2,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,580 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 62c | 5,141$3,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,958.5 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Minnesota Twins | 43c | 4,970$2,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,137.15 | 447 | 44.1%197 W · 250 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Minnesota Twins | 43c | 3,770$1,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,621.31 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 69c | 3,683$2,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.95 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 2,632$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131.58 | 384 | 44.3%170 W · 214 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Minnesota Twins | 43c | 2,500$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 2,366$1,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.38 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Minnesota Twins | 10c | 2,356$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.45 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Cleveland Guardians | 73c | 2,307$1,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.52 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d8…e9a1backed Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 2,069$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.97 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cleveland Guardians | 75c | 1,980$1,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.71 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 1,958$1,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.29 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 1,600$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.12 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Minnesota Twins | 43c | 1,569$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.72 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca4e…f97ebacked Minnesota Twins | 43c | 1,557$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.67 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Minnesota Twins | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…6c59backed Minnesota Twins | 5c | 1,319$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 293 | 31.7%93 W · 200 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed Minnesota Twins | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…5053backed Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 1,137$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.67 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa969…1a84backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 1,132$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.44 | 174 | 52.9%92 W · 82 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Minnesota Twins | 43c | 1,118$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.91 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cleveland Guardians | 67c | 1,055$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.21 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Cleveland Guardians | 76c | 1,040$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.01 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7599…4293backed Minnesota Twins | 11c | 909.09$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.05 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.19 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 855.71$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.95 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Minnesota Twins | 21c | 787.14$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.38 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Minnesota Twins | 9c | 779.8$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.36 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Cleveland Guardians | 78c | 759.44$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.31 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Minnesota Twins | 5c | 743.7$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.56 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…7b68backed Minnesota Twins | 6c | 738.6$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.97 | 371 | 43.9%163 W · 208 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Minnesota Twins | 7c | 728.39$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.53 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Minnesota Twins | 43c | 640$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.6 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Minnesota Twins | 14c | 639.86$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.65 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fe…d406backed Minnesota Twins | 19c | 639.07$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…a496backed Cleveland Guardians | 72c | 551.12$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.29 | 78 | 61.5%48 W · 30 L | +7.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Cleveland Guardians | 74c | 531.97$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.35 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Minnesota Twins | 43c | 502$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.54 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57f3…4fcfbacked Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 482.76$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.76 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 455.87$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.04 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 452.22$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.78 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Cleveland Guardians | 73c | 432.47$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.77 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 400$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 398 | 50.3%200 W · 198 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 399.99$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.99 | 494 | 50%247 W · 247 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Minnesota Twins | 5c | 361.48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 445 | 56.9%253 W · 192 L | +27.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc278…a116backed Minnesota Twins | 22c | 359.12$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.85 | 841 | 40.2%338 W · 503 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 407 | 53.6%218 W · 189 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc070…203abacked Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Minnesota Twins | 43c | 320$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.6 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 308.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.77 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb97…7ae1backed Minnesota Twins | 44c | 303.7$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.63 | 85 | 34.1%29 W · 56 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Minnesota Twins | 23c | 300$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 503 | 37.2%187 W · 316 L | -42.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 346 | 48.6%168 W · 178 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 276.33$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.06 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1626…9e8dbacked Minnesota Twins | 10c | 255.09$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.14 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34ca…9de7backed Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 254.39$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.39 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Minnesota Twins | 7c | 249$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 245.61$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.61 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Minnesota Twins | 43c | 244.99$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.35 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32de…ce27backed Minnesota Twins | 43c | 236.38$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.38 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 235.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.11 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Cleveland Guardians | 78c | 208.79$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.57 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…c940backed Minnesota Twins | 12c | 204.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.79 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa497…7891backed Cleveland Guardians | 74c | 201.06$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.79 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…8f77backed Minnesota Twins | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 110 | 41.8%46 W · 64 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e9…5ef8backed Cleveland Guardians | 76c | 199.99$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.8 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Minnesota Twins | 43c | 199.98$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.99 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…118dbacked Minnesota Twins | 43c | 199.97$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.24 | 514 | 49.2%253 W · 261 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc0…099dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 197.16$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.51 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 192.98$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.98 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Minnesota Twins | 30c | 187.37$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.98 | 377 | 47.2%178 W · 199 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x043f…ca25backed Minnesota Twins | 43c | 186.05$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 244 | 45.1%110 W · 134 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Minnesota Twins | 43c | 186$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.98 | 541 | 46.8%253 W · 288 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Minnesota Twins | 8c | 181.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 181.12$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.17 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed Minnesota Twins | 43c | 180$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.4 | 1,205 | 43%518 W · 687 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5999…bdbebacked Minnesota Twins | 44c | 176.2$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.53 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 383 | 53.8%206 W · 177 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 173$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.66 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Minnesota Twins | 14c | 172.77$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.43 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardiansthis page
- Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland GuardiansYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.