South American Leagues · resolved market
CD Guadalajara vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf0370627ae4b073b105e13dbc2593c14749408cd8d66694a09e157d5afdc803f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,113
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,267
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,113 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x38f0…2768backed Over | 49c | 14,776$7,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,231.02 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Over | 47c | 10,640$5,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000.79 | 313 | 49.8%156 W · 157 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…6bfebacked Under | 51c | 6,925$3,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,393.25 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 53c | 6,157$3,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,897.91 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 54c | 3,306$1,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,511.83 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 47c | 3,030$1,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,606.06 | 1,945 | 51.3%998 W · 947 L | +40.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Under | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.91 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 50c | 2,024$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.02 | 1,296 | 43%557 W · 739 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 48c | 1,979$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,037.95 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 53c | 1,509$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.43 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 10c | 1,436$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 116 | 18.1%21 W · 95 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Under | 51c | 1,200$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588 | 230 | 57.4%132 W · 98 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Over | 49c | 1,033$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.26 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 61c | 1,016$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.22 | 2,287 | 34.3%784 W · 1,503 L | -30.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x230a…9857backed Under | 51c | 1,001$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 724 | 50.6%366 W · 358 L | -24.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Under | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed Under | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbed3…2811backed Under | 80c | 690.81$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.88 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 69cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x800b…152abacked Under | 50c | 537$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.91 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 49c | 533.93$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.48 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Under | 46c | 483.9$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.31 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Under | 48c | 390.09$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.85 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 368.03$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.97 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 58c | 358.89$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.23 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 51c | 344.05$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.15 | 2,173 | 43.6%948 W · 1,225 L | -55.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 49c | 279.63$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.49 | 2,614 | 54.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L | +25.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Under | 50c | 231$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.33 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Under | 51c | 218$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.82 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 46c | 203$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.62 | 429 | 62.2%267 W · 162 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 51c | 190.44$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.31 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Over | 51c | 144$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.44 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2af…3880backed Over | 46c | 110.68$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc882…4e6bbacked Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 788 | 56.3%444 W · 344 L | +23.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc29…383bbacked Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +5.1wins | +0.23per pick | 41cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2444…4252backed Under | 50c | 85.4$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.43 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Under | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 212 | 52.4%111 W · 101 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 49c | 81.75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Under | 48c | 64.38$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.28 | 97 | 41.2%40 W · 57 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Under | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 50c | 62$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 171 | 43.9%75 W · 96 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 53c | 60.85$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 52c | 57.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.83 | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec3e…11c0backed Under | 46c | 54$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.16 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Over | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2b…d4e9backed Under | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +7.1wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 48c | 47.5$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 341 | 55.1%188 W · 153 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 48c | 43.25$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.49 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a5f…e226backed Under | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…98e4backed Under | 48c | 41.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Under | 48c | 41.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.57 | 197 | 61.9%122 W · 75 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa734…65dbbacked Over | 54c | 40.74$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -64%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe93c…76ebbacked Under | 50c | 40.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…82cdbacked Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a37…4daebacked Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c3…7336backed Over | 50c | 38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 55c | 37.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.68 | 411 | 45.5%187 W · 224 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xede5…5300backed Over | 50c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked Under | 53c | 34.53$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.23 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +38%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 50c | 30.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.14 | 172 | 55.2%95 W · 77 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Over | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 183 | 59%108 W · 75 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 50c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 221 | 45.7%101 W · 120 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 53c | 26.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 308 | 58.4%180 W · 128 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Over | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3b…583bbacked Under | 54c | 22.94$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.55 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba27…5c9dbacked Over | 48c | 21.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9132…6607backed Under | 64c | 18.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CD Guadalajara vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 2.5this page
- CD Guadalajara vs. Tigres de la UANL: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CD Guadalajara vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 1.5Over won
- CD Guadalajara vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 3.5Under won
- CD Guadalajara vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CD Guadalajara (-1.5)CD Guadalajara won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.