MLB · resolved market
Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x067d92dcaba17747606db322994170d8eea675906616cbf421e34bae2c3cf474
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Washington Nationalsof Washington Nationals, Miami Marlins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $310,898
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $321,322
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $310,898 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 260 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3625…1187backed Miami Marlins | 54c | 37,315$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Washington Nationals | 64c | 20,487$13,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,298.63 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Washington Nationals | 46c | 19,740$9,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,659.43 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Miami Marlins | 54c | 18,373$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Washington Nationals | 44c | 15,699$6,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,837.33 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Washington Nationals | 47c | 15,565$7,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,249.45 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Miami Marlins | 56c | 14,559$8,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,153.1 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Washington Nationals | 70c | 14,294$10,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,252.57 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 11,214$4,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,797.59 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Washington Nationals | 45c | 11,183$5,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,161.03 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Miami Marlins | 44c | 10,659$4,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,679.11 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Washington Nationals | 43c | 10,110$4,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,762.5 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Washington Nationals | 51c | 9,907$5,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,819.57 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Washington Nationals | 43c | 8,417$3,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,758.55 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Washington Nationals | 45c | 6,833$3,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,741.19 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Miami Marlins | 34c | 6,308$2,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,157.94 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Miami Marlins | 34c | 6,308$2,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,157.94 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 6,268$3,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,447.33 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9f…26e8backed Washington Nationals | 59c | 5,962$3,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,467.51 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Washington Nationals | 45c | 5,743$2,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,158.83 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Miami Marlins | 25c | 5,557$1,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,394.4 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Miami Marlins | 56c | 5,500$3,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,080 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Washington Nationals | 51c | 5,145$2,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,538.98 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 5,035$2,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,769.25 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Washington Nationals | 54c | 4,150$2,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,904.89 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Miami Marlins | 57c | 4,000$2,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,280 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Miami Marlins | 57c | 3,720$2,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,120.39 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Washington Nationals | 44c | 3,555$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,994.93 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Washington Nationals | 44c | 3,136$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,756.24 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 246 | 51.6%127 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Washington Nationals | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Washington Nationals | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,710 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Miami Marlins | 29c | 2,935$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.82 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Washington Nationals | 46c | 2,528$1,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,374.67 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Washington Nationals | 79c | 2,377$1,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.38 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Miami Marlins | 43c | 2,088$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.67 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Washington Nationals | 46c | 2,065$953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.37 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Miami Marlins | 7c | 2,023$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.79 | 335 | 15.5%52 W · 283 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Washington Nationals | 47c | 2,000$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Washington Nationals | 64c | 1,977$1,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.9 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Miami Marlins | 52c | 1,952$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.52 | 301 | 40.5%122 W · 179 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Miami Marlins | 40c | 1,853$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed Washington Nationals | 62c | 1,697$1,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.34 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +36.1wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Miami Marlins | 21c | 1,585$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.12 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Miami Marlins | 57c | 1,500$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Washington Nationals | 73c | 1,450$1,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.97 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…d14dbacked Miami Marlins | 56c | 1,375$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Miami Marlins | 28c | 1,340$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.19 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Washington Nationals | 45c | 1,330$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.35 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa969…1a84backed Washington Nationals | 45c | 1,189$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.75 | 174 | 52.9%92 W · 82 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Washington Nationals | 45c | 1,167$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.67 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Washington Nationals | 58c | 1,012$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.07 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Miami Marlins | 56c | 999.99$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.99 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Washington Nationals | 57c | 871$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.57 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Miami Marlins | 4c | 858$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.32 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…7ed7backed Washington Nationals | 71c | 845.07$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.07 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Washington Nationals | 31c | 811.82$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.05 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 800$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Washington Nationals | 43c | 750$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.5 | 508 | 60.2%306 W · 202 L | +29.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Miami Marlins | 43c | 711.22$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.28 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Miami Marlins | 37c | 668.75$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.97 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb99…dda5backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 666.44$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Miami Marlins | 10c | 592$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.83 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Washington Nationals | 44c | 568.18$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.18 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Washington Nationals | 45c | 550$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.5 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fe…d406backed Miami Marlins | 41c | 548.57$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Miami Marlins | 56c | 547.49$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.59 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked Washington Nationals | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 177 | 68.9%122 W · 55 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Washington Nationals | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Washington Nationals | 63c | 493.19$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.52 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Miami Marlins | 25c | 489.26$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.25 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Washington Nationals | 45c | 480$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Washington Nationals | 45c | 462.74$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.38 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…d084backed Washington Nationals | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.55 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Miami Marlins | 47c | 453.11$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Miami Marlins | 56c | 449.64$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.01 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd3…fed4backed Washington Nationals | 56c | 446.43$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.43 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Washington Nationals | 71c | 445.77$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.27 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Washington Nationals | 55c | 444.77$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.45 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Miami Marlins | 20c | 440.59$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.12 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bba…49babacked Washington Nationals | 48c | 417.43$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.43 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +5.5wins | +0.18per pick | 35cpaid | +931.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Washington Nationals | 66c | 396.67$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.37 | 503 | 37.2%187 W · 316 L | -42.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…6c59backed Miami Marlins | 18c | 389.05$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 293 | 31.7%93 W · 200 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…5c87backed Miami Marlins | 65c | 374.29$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.34 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Washington Nationals | 71c | 359.15$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.15 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1884…b7a5backed Washington Nationals | 55c | 357.25$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.99 | 577 | 58.6%338 W · 239 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Washington Nationals | 58c | 344.81$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.82 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…c830backed Miami Marlins | 67c | 339.89$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.54 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Miami Marlins | 31c | 318.85$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.23 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Miami Marlins | 4c | 317.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Washington Nationals | 45c | 309$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.95 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Miami Marlins | 31c | 306.34$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.97 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09c6…a087backed Miami Marlins | 4c | 305.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Washington Nationals | 70c | 300.7$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.43 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Washington Nationals | 46c | 300$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 346 | 48.6%168 W · 178 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc278…a116backed Miami Marlins | 8c | 298.91$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.91 | 841 | 40.2%338 W · 503 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Washington Nationals | 52c | 287$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.55 | 677 | 42.2%286 W · 391 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…62cdbacked Miami Marlins | 57c | 280.7$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 795 | 43%342 W · 453 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Washington Nationals | 45c | 280.19$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.36 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Miami Marlins | 56c | 275$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlinsthis page
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.