Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Ruud (-1.5) vs Blockx (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbee643cef57d507d99edb62273be0f0a98cee5dcbe4a6562b07f077435af23b3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blockxof Ruud, Blockx
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,661
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,091
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,661 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1467…4372backed Blockx | 49c | 4,892$2,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,494.78 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Blockx | 53c | 3,579$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,679.44 | 1,267 | 56.6%717 W · 550 L | -18.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Ruud | 47c | 2,342$1,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104.1 | 724 | 52.6%381 W · 343 L | +34.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Ruud | 47c | 2,225$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045.84 | 97 | 41.2%40 W · 57 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Ruud | 51c | 1,970$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1,118 | 42.8%479 W · 639 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20cb…d211backed Blockx | 53c | 1,590$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.51 | 103 | 58.3%60 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…4687backed Ruud | 51c | 1,147$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.5 | 373 | 51.2%191 W · 182 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161b…acc2backed Ruud | 50c | 964.6$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.02 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Ruud | 46c | 918.31$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.42 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Blockx | 54c | 910.46$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.46 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd456…aba4backed Blockx | 53c | 800.27$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.56 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Ruud | 47c | 799.77$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.89 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf62…a550backed Blockx | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1961…c461backed Ruud | 51c | 434$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.34 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Ruud | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 185 | 43.2%80 W · 105 L | -13.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d87…abeabacked Ruud | 51c | 385.49$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Blockx | 50c | 384.9$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.92 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4a…e7cabacked Ruud | 51c | 305.06$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.58 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff8…8a76backed Ruud | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9644…d03bbacked Blockx | 50c | 293.98$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.75 | 370 | 47%174 W · 196 L | -18.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…0d22backed Blockx | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf38…848bbacked Ruud | 48c | 257.13$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.42 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a7…374abacked Blockx | 52c | 215.38$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.38 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Ruud | 50c | 200$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 1,245 | 51.9%646 W · 599 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Ruud | 51c | 197.45$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 325 | 54.2%176 W · 149 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x536e…b7ffbacked Blockx | 52c | 191.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.75 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc99…ce7ebacked Blockx | 52c | 191.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.23 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa24…a75cbacked Blockx | 53c | 189.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.62 | 164 | 50.6%83 W · 81 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x188e…70d8backed Blockx | 50c | 173.39$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.59 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Ruud | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1,001 | 45.4%454 W · 547 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Ruud | 48c | 139.04$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.52 | 301 | 31.9%96 W · 205 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Ruud | 51c | 120$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0806…4adabacked Ruud | 51c | 115.69$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 146 | 52.7%77 W · 69 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…3633backed Ruud | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 992 | 49.4%490 W · 502 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb9…95c9backed Blockx | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 140 | 39.3%55 W · 85 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…24c2backed Blockx | 51c | 97.83$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.83 | 267 | 59.6%159 W · 108 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb740…2ec1backed Blockx | 53c | 94.66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.66 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa23…7afabacked Blockx | 53c | 93.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.52 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbaa…59b8backed Blockx | 52c | 92.31$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.31 | 324 | 48.1%156 W · 168 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Ruud | 23c | 84.16$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6974…11b4backed Blockx | 76c | 82.07$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Blockx | 71c | 76.47$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.29 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x952a…6291backed Blockx | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Ruud | 47c | 71.72$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.35 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…1a11backed Ruud | 54c | 68.52$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Ruud | 48c | 63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…a1d3backed Blockx | 54c | 61.25$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.25 | 142 | 62.7%89 W · 53 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47f6…b051backed Blockx | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 416 | 44.5%185 W · 231 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Ruud | 50c | 59.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.69 | 300 | 53.3%160 W · 140 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…bb1dbacked Blockx | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad23…6b77backed Ruud | 50c | 51.76$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…e4abbacked Ruud | 50c | 50.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Blockx | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 156 | 46.8%73 W · 83 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4934…cca1backed Ruud | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 84 | 63.1%53 W · 31 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Ruud | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Ruud | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2095…8521backed Blockx | 49c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 176 | 58.5%103 W · 73 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Ruud | 48c | 41.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Ruud | 50c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 389 | 52.2%203 W · 186 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b04…f467backed Ruud | 50c | 31.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed Blockx | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 265 | 48.7%129 W · 136 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Ruud | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 361 | 61.8%223 W · 138 L | +41.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +25%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f5…0688backed Ruud | 48c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa84d…bebdbacked Ruud | 50c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 347 | 48.1%167 W · 180 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbced…5808backed Ruud | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 345 | 60%207 W · 138 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab3…d47cbacked Blockx | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Ruud (-1.5) vs Blockx (+1.5)this page
- Casper Ruud vs. Alexander Blockx: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Madrid Open: Casper Ruud vs Alexander BlockxAlexander Blockx won
- Ruud vs. Blockx: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Ruud vs. Blockx: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Ruud vs. Blockx: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Ruud vs BlockxBlockx won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.