Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Ruud vs Blockx
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x951078a8a02ab3133339be15d0f0cb8973b1d2bf30abdd018471e2c3d2992991
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blockxof Ruud, Blockx
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,815
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,990
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,815 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Ruud | 64c | 727.78$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.78 | 7,753 | 47.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L | +39.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Blockx | 36c | 556.11$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.11 | 176 | 54.5%96 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb3…8e52backed Ruud | 27c | 367.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef9…7a60backed Ruud | 23c | 301.08$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.08 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +5.8wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9961…edcfbacked Blockx | 36c | 279.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.67 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -5.9wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -33%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Blockx | 62c | 254.01$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.28 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Ruud | 65c | 179.98$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.99 | 291 | 52.6%153 W · 138 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Blockx | 78c | 159.87$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.03 | 4,975 | 38.6%1,922 W · 3,053 L | -19.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa1…a420backed Blockx | 35c | 144.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.57 | 512 | 36.5%187 W · 325 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Ruud | 65c | 132.57$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.17 | 7,183 | 49.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L | +112.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbef…0c11backed Blockx | 73c | 116.58$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 685 | 57.8%396 W · 289 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Blockx | 48c | 83.81$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.81 | 3,457 | 38.9%1,345 W · 2,112 L | -15.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Ruud | 15c | 78.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 9,374 | 44.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L | -244.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Ruud | 65c | 74.71$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.91 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6eeb…f331backed Ruud | 27c | 74.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9531…18ffbacked Blockx | 41c | 72.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.85 | 116 | 41.4%48 W · 68 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Ruud | 25c | 70$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 584 | 38.2%223 W · 361 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Blockx | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 3,262 | 40.3%1,314 W · 1,948 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4c…1940backed Blockx | 80c | 52.95$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.59 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Ruud | 66c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a9…e573backed Blockx | 33c | 45.37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 120 | 25.8%31 W · 89 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Blockx | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 499 | 43.5%217 W · 282 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Blockx | 75c | 25.4$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.35 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a30…17bbbacked Ruud | 67c | 22.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Ruud | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 830 | 47%390 W · 440 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Ruud | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 935 | 57.3%536 W · 399 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf112…21ebbacked Ruud | 67c | 15.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 138 | 64.5%89 W · 49 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Ruud vs Blockxthis page
- Casper Ruud vs. Alexander Blockx: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Madrid Open: Casper Ruud vs Alexander BlockxAlexander Blockx won
- Ruud vs. Blockx: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Ruud vs. Blockx: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Ruud vs. Blockx: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Set Handicap: Ruud (-1.5) vs Blockx (+1.5)Blockx won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.