Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Division One vs FlyQuest - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ca53ebea5f1610967bf798128e697da6b96cd853870a37ac8b663d9f1c3fd44
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Division Oneof Division One, FlyQuest
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,855
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,920
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,855 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed FlyQuest | 61c | 1,757$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.53 | 521 | 55.5%289 W · 232 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4d…7a8fbacked Division One | 51c | 976.89$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.89 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff4…d735backed Division One | 7c | 696.14$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.41 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +100.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Division One | 28c | 566.76$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.34 | 174 | 48.3%84 W · 90 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c0…3bc8backed FlyQuest | 53c | 374$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Division One | 38c | 363.08$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.11 | 689 | 49.5%341 W · 348 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Division One | 32c | 289.31$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 168 | 42.3%71 W · 97 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed Division One | 41c | 253.97$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.97 | 428 | 40%171 W · 257 L | -22.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Division One | 28c | 242$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.55 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed FlyQuest | 37c | 241.9$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.28 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf56c…fcbdbacked FlyQuest | 72c | 223.07$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.56 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Division One | 26c | 223$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.02 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Division One | 45c | 214.09$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.21 | 450 | 33.8%152 W · 298 L | -35.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Division One | 29c | 212$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.01 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Division One | 39c | 198.3$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.21 | 452 | 50%226 W · 226 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x009b…26dabacked Division One | 26c | 189.65$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.65 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfc99…ce7ebacked Division One | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed FlyQuest | 31c | 187.11$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.71 | 418 | 35.6%149 W · 269 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…fb5bbacked FlyQuest | 65c | 186.94$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.51 | 349 | 54.7%191 W · 158 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Division One | 22c | 176.51$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.82 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Division One | 19c | 166.32$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.65 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e8…5289backed FlyQuest | 59c | 166.12$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.01 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -4.0wins | -0.25per pick | 63cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked FlyQuest | 73c | 108.01$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.33 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Division One | 34c | 104.75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.29 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked FlyQuest | 34c | 96.53$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.7 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe132…abf3backed Division One | 29c | 84.77$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.26 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ade0backed Division One | 16c | 75.31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.31 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2f…febcbacked FlyQuest | 71c | 70.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 211 | 44.1%93 W · 118 L | -13.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc056…e188backed FlyQuest | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Division One | 40c | 67.05$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.07 | 575 | 17.7%102 W · 473 L | -71.7wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed FlyQuest | 37c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 305 | 44.3%135 W · 170 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked FlyQuest | 21c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb07f…d473backed FlyQuest | 68c | 57.22$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed Division One | 25c | 56.78$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.64 | 247 | 51.8%128 W · 119 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Division One | 27c | 56.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.9 | 322 | 61.5%198 W · 124 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed FlyQuest | 56c | 55.51$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.89 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb92f…58c4backed Division One | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b14…5022backed FlyQuest | 59c | 50.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dcd…5ef7backed Division One | 28c | 49.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.51 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9851…1320backed Division One | 39c | 45.15$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.59 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10df…2206backed Division One | 35c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed FlyQuest | 79c | 37$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.13 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed FlyQuest | 63c | 34.45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 264 | 36%95 W · 169 L | -15.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked FlyQuest | 63c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 55 | 69.1%38 W · 17 L | +12.2wins | +0.22per pick | 47cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Division One vs FlyQuest - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: Division One vs FlyQuest (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 PlayoffsDivision One won
- Valorant: Division One vs FlyQuest - Map 2 WinnerFlyQuest won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.