CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Wildcard - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaeddb156858128ab69636ebbaf13e7f405d20add5eb537a0a85f7f6cc1dc8ec3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- M80of M80, Wildcard
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,894
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,471
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,894 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x928a…8044backed M80 | 76c | 8,328$6,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,985.76 | 203 | 58.6%119 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc99…ce7ebacked Wildcard | 20c | 4,230$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.36 | 189 | 33.9%64 W · 125 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Wildcard | 25c | 3,907$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.91 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0580…f78bbacked Wildcard | 2c | 2,625$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 79 | 20.3%16 W · 63 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x196b…4151backed Wildcard | 2c | 2,625$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 108 | 0.9%1 W · 107 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2d…318bbacked Wildcard | 2c | 2,625$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 75 | 1.3%1 W · 74 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Wildcard | 17c | 2,321$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.8 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked M80 | 79c | 2,269$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.4 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x013d…0574backed Wildcard | 1c | 2,250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 62 | 0%0 W · 62 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb829…4f5ebacked Wildcard | 1c | 2,250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 90 | 20%18 W · 72 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Wildcard | 1c | 2,250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 194 | 3.6%7 W · 187 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Wildcard | 25c | 2,228$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.12 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Wildcard | 2c | 2,150$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 215 | 0.9%2 W · 213 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Wildcard | 1c | 1,500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 197 | 3.6%7 W · 190 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -91.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed M80 | 69c | 1,300$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.99 | 450 | 58.9%265 W · 185 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…fc8abacked Wildcard | 1c | 1,200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8375…ba1dbacked Wildcard | 25c | 1,096$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Wildcard | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 424 | 27.1%115 W · 309 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d8…0175backed Wildcard | 2c | 970$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 31 | 3.2%1 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Wildcard | 17c | 968.61$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.84 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12bc…bf2fbacked Wildcard | 18c | 850.89$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Wildcard | 13c | 817.52$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.75 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Wildcard | 23c | 770.53$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.1 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed M80 | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 316 | 42.1%133 W · 183 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked Wildcard | 31c | 483.87$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 530 | 34.7%184 W · 346 L | -32.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed Wildcard | 4c | 480$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 185 | 45.4%84 W · 101 L | +9.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa0…1160backed Wildcard | 17c | 433.27$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.95 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Wildcard | 4c | 425.01$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed Wildcard | 30c | 410.72$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.21 | 175 | 38.3%67 W · 108 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Wildcard | 14c | 391.91$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.16 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Wildcard | 14c | 362$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.12 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Wildcard | 27c | 305.75$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.27 | 193 | 29%56 W · 137 L | -23.4wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…8796backed M80 | 79c | 301.76$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.32 | 282 | 54.6%154 W · 128 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed Wildcard | 9c | 248.76$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.39 | 217 | 39.2%85 W · 132 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Wildcard | 4c | 240$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 452 | 40.3%182 W · 270 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…3e23backed Wildcard | 24c | 240$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.2 | 140 | 37.1%52 W · 88 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2c50backed Wildcard | 21c | 226.59$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.99 | 721 | 39.7%286 W · 435 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf56c…fcbdbacked Wildcard | 22c | 226.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 354 | 49.7%176 W · 178 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d17…9054backed Wildcard | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +217.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Wildcard | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 332 | 41.6%138 W · 194 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Wildcard | 29c | 176.09$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.71 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed M80 | 74c | 135.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 538 | 50.6%272 W · 266 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Wildcard | 31c | 129.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac9c…50d8backed Wildcard | 10c | 124.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 254 | 16.9%43 W · 211 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2c…3ec7backed M80 | 79c | 114.29$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.29 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86bc…efbcbacked M80 | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a00…d958backed M80 | 72c | 82.18$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.18 | 316 | 62.7%198 W · 118 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed M80 | 69c | 80$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.87 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x673e…b0d0backed Wildcard | 23c | 78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +5.6wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +30%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Wildcard | 26c | 72.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Wildcard | 14c | 71.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb676…2dbbbacked M80 | 78c | 38.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.63 | 139 | 54%75 W · 64 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed M80 | 69c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 335 | 53.4%179 W · 156 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b82…0fbbbacked M80 | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: M80 vs Wildcard - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: M80 vs Wildcard (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship North American PlayoffsM80 won
- Counter-Strike: M80 vs Wildcard - Map 1 WinnerM80 won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: M80 (-1.5) vs Wildcard (+1.5)M80 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.